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We present evidences of the diffusive motion of the ground and tunnels and show that if systematic movements are excluded then the remaining uncorrelated component of the motion obeys a characteristic fractal law with the displacement…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Vladimir Shiltsev

We study a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the Gibbs measure with a non-convex energy function at a low temperature. We use the practical and popular geometric annealing schedule, and use a Langevin diffusion at each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Ruiyu Han , Gautam Iyer , Dejan Slepčev

Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard , Anton Golub

I overview recent research advances in Bayesian state-space modeling of multivariate time series. A main focus is on the decouple/recouple concept that enables application of state-space models to increasingly large-scale data, applying to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Mike West

We introduce a novel entropy-related function, \textit{non-repeatability}, designed to capture dynamical behaviors in complex systems. Its normalized form, \textit{mutability}, has been previously applied in statistical physics as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-04 Eugenio E. Vogel , Francisco J. Peña , G. Saravia , P. Vargas

Multimodal distributions of some physics based model parameters are often encountered in engineering due to different situations such as a change in some environmental conditions, and the presence of some types of damage and nonlinearity.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-19 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

The geometrical structure is among the most fundamental ingredients in understanding complex systems. Is there any systematic approach in defining structures quantitatively, rather than illustratively? If yes, what are the basic principles…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-27 Lipo Wang , Guiwen Tan , Hui Cao

We investigate the connections between microscopic chaos, defined on a dynamical level and arising from collisions between molecules, and diffusion, characterized by a mean square displacement proportional to the time. We use a number of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. P. Dettmann , E. G. D. Cohen

Comparing time series is essential in various tasks such as clustering and classification. While elastic distance measures that allow warping provide a robust quantitative comparison, a qualitative comparison on top of them is missing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Simiao Lin , Wannes Meert , Pieter Robberechts , Hendrik Blockeel

Multifractal systems usually have singularity spectra defined on bounded sets of H\"older exponents. As a consequence, their associated multifractal scaling exponents are expected to depend linearly upon statistical moment orders at high…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-30 L. Moriconi

There is a growing interest in methods for detecting and interpreting changes in experimental time evolution data. Based on measured time series, the quantitative characterization of dynamical phase transitions at bifurcation points of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-19 Bulcsú Sándor , András Rusu , Károly Dénes , Mária Ercsey-Ravasz , Zsolt I. Lázár

The objective of the present paper is to use the well known Ross-Macdonald models as a prototype, incorporating spatial movements, identifying different times scales and proving a singular perturbation result using a system of local and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Marcone C. Pereira , Sergio Oliva , Larissa M. Sartori

We consider correlated L\'evy walks on a class of two- and three-dimensional deterministic self-similar structures, with correlation between steps induced by the geometrical distribution of regions, featuring different diffusion properties.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-19 Pierfrancesco Buonsante , Raffaella Burioni , Alessandro Vezzani

Volcanic seismicity at Mt. Etna is studied. It is found that the associated stochastic process exhibits a subdiffusive phenomenon. The jump probability distribution well obeys an exponential law, whereas the waiting-time distribution…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We develop a scale-invariant truncated L\'evy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits L\'evy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Boris Podobnik , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Youngki Lee , H. Eugene Stanley

Most of the time series in nature are a mixture of signals with deterministic and random dynamics. Thus the distinction between these two characteristics becomes important. Distinguishing between chaotic and aleatory signals is difficult…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-13 D. M. Mateos , L. Riveaud , P. W. Lamberti

The structure of real-world networks is usually difficult to characterize owing to the variation of topological scales, the nondyadic complex interactions, and the fluctuations in the network. We aim to address these problems by introducing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Quoc Hoan Tran , Van Tuan Vo , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

Uncovering the mechanism behind the scaling law in human trajectories is of fundamental significance in understanding many spatio-temporal phenomena. In combination of the exploration and the preferential returns, we propose a simple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-24 Xiao-Pu Han , Xiang-Wen Wang , Xiao-Yong Yan , Bing-Hong Wang