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In late June, 2021, a devastating heatwave affected the US Pacific Northwest and western Canada, breaking numerous all-time temperature records by large margins and directly causing hundreds of fatalities. The observed 2021 daily maximum…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-12 Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Michael F. Wehner , Travis A. O'Brien

Carbon dioxide is one of the major contributors to the radiative forcing, increasing both the temperature and the humidity of Earth's atmosphere. If the stellar irradiance increases and water becomes abundant in the stratosphere of an…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-11 Illeana Gomez-Leal , Lisa Kaltenegger , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

Using the coupled climate model CLIMBER-3a, we investigate changes in sea surface elevation due to a weakening of the thermohaline circulation (THC). In addition to a global sea level rise due to a warming of the deep sea, this leads to a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Anders Levermann , Alexa Griesel , Matthias Hofmann , Marisa Montoya , Stefan Rahmstorf

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo

There is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea of trying to predict the sea-surface temperature in order to be able to predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Laepple , Stephen Jewson

Bayesian statistical models were developed for the number of tropical cyclones and the rate at which these cyclones became hurricanes in the North Atlantic, North and South Indian, and East and West Pacific Oceans. We find that there is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 William M Briggs

Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Werner Marx , Robin Haunschild , Lutz Bornmann

We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme that relies, in part, on statistical modelling of the empirical relationship between Atlantic sea surface temperatures and landfalling hurricane numbers. We test out a number of simple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Roman Binter , Stephen Jewson , Shree Khare

Climate change is the long-term shift in global weather patterns, largely caused by anthropogenic activity of greenhouse gas emissions. Global climate temperatures have unmistakably risen and naturally occurring climate variability alone…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-26 Junze Zhang , Kerry Zhang , Mary Zhang , Jonathan H. Jiang , Philip E. Rosen , Kristen A. Fahy

The study of the rapid intensification process of Tropical Cyclones (TCs) is a current, yet lacking research topic in Mexico, where thermal and dynamic factors at the microscale and mesoscale fundamentally intervene. Due to the little…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Mauricio López-Reyes , Ángel Meulenert

Methane is thought to have been an important greenhouse gas during the Archean, although its potential warming has been found to be limited at high concentrations due to its high shortwave absorption. We use the Met Office Unified Model, a…

Moist heatwaves and convective storms frequently co-occur, posing compound risks. Although historically concentrated in the tropics, these moist weather extremes are projected to intensify substantially towards the midlatitudes, with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Funing Li , Talia Tamarin-Brodsky

Improving observations of ocean heat content show that Earth is absorbing more energy from the sun than it is radiating to space as heat, even during the recent solar minimum. The inferred planetary energy imbalance, 0.59 \pm 0.15 W/m2…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Pushker Kharecha , Karina von Schuckmann

A high-resolution wave climate projection for the northwestern Atlantic Ocean has been conducted to help assess possible regional impacts due to global climate change. The spectral wave model NOAA WAVEWATCH III is utilized with three…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-10 Adrean Webb , Tomoya Shimura , Nobuhito Mori

Atmospheric ozone plays an important role on the temperature structure of the atmosphere. However, it has not been included in previous studies on the effect of an increasing solar radiation on the Earth's climate. Here we study the climate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-11 Illeana Gomez-Leal , Lisa Kaltenegger , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

The increasing frequency of global climate extremes has significantly impacted the terrestrial carbon cycle. Extreme weather events such as heatwaves, droughts, and extreme precipitation pose serious threats to ecosystem carbon…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-05-28 Haiyang Shi

A non-conventional vertical seismometer, with good low-frequency sensitivity, was used to study earth motions in Macon, Georgia USA during the time of hurricane Charley, August 2004. During its transitions between water and land, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Randall D. Peters

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat becomes a priority for climate adaptation efforts. High temperatures concentrated in urban heat can drive increased risk of heat-related death and illness as well as increased energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-26 Grant Buster , Jordan Cox , Brandon N. Benton , Ryan N. King

El Nino is an extreme weather event featuring unusual warming of surface waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. This phenomenon is characterized by heavy rains and floods that negatively affect the economic activities of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Hugo Alatrista-Salas , Vincent Gauthier , Miguel Nunez-del-Prado , Monique Becker

Over recent decades, the Arctic Ocean has experienced dramatic changes due to climate change. Retreating sea ice has opened up large areas of ocean, resulting in an enhanced wave climate. Taking into account the intense seasonality and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Isabela S. Cabral , Ian R. Young , Alessandro Toffoli