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Tidal stress is a globally acting perturbation driven primarily by the gravitational forcing of the Moon and the Sun. Understanding how tidal stresses can trigger seismic events is essential for constraining tectonic environments that are…

In many important systems exhibiting crackling noise --- intermittent avalanche-like relaxation response with power-law and, thus, self-similar distributed event sizes --- the "laws" for the rate of activity after large events are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jörn Davidsen , Marco Baiesi

The aftershocks of the Tohoku earthquake are analyzed in light of the phenomenological theory of aftershocks. The theory is based on the concept of an earthquake source as a dynamic system, the state of which is described by a deactivation…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-07 O. D. Zotov , A. V. Guglielmi

We consider a branching model of triggered seismicity, the ETAS (epidemic-type aftershock sequence) model which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes (``aftershocks''). An aftershock sequence results in this model from…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The presented paper is devoted to the search for mathematical basis for describing the aftershock evolution of strong earthquakes. We consider the experimental facts and heuristic arguments that allow to make a choice and to focus on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-09-24 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

The elementary theory of aftershocks, being relatively simple mathematically, belongs to the basics of earthquake physics. The paper briefly outlines the concepts and ideas of the theory, provides equations for the relaxation of the source…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-16 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Pulse-like ruptures arise spontaneously in many elastodynamic rupture simulations and seem to be the dominant rupture mode along crustal faults. Pulse-like ruptures propagating under steady-state conditions can be efficiently analysed…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-08-07 Nicolas Brantut , Dmitry I. Garagash , Hiroyuki Noda

We compute displacement and stress due to a normal fault by means of two-dimensional plane-strain finite-element analysis. To do so, we apply a system of forces to the fault nodes and develop an iterative algorithm serving to determine the…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Antonietta Megna , Salvatore Barba , Stefano Santini

We study analytically and by numerical simulations the statistics of the aftershocks generated after large avalanches in models of interface depinning that include viscoelastic relaxation effects. We find in all the analyzed cases that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 E. A. Jagla

Approximation of problems in linear elasticity having small shear modulus in a thin region is considered. Problems of this type arise when modeling ground motion due to earthquakes where rupture occurs in a thin fault. It is shown that,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Jing Liu , Xin Yang Lu , Noel J Walkington

``Remote triggering" refers to the inducement of earthquakes by weak perturbations that emanate from far away sources, typically intense earthquakes that happen at much larger distances than their nearby aftershocks, sometimes even around…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-13 Harish Charan , Anna Pomyalov , Itamar Procaccia

The number of earthquakes as a function of magnitude decays as a power law. This trend is usually justified using spring-block models, where slips with the appropriate global statistics have been numerically observed. However, prominent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-05-24 E. A. Jagla , A. B. Kolton

We present an analytical solution and numerical tests of the epidemic-type aftershock (ETAS) model for aftershocks, which describes foreshocks, aftershocks and mainshocks on the same footing. The occurrence rate of aftershocks triggered by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

In earthquake-prone regions, the accumulation of geophysical stress during the aseismic period plays a critical role in determining which faults are more likely to be reactivated in future seismic events. In this model, we consider an…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-17 Pabita Mahato , Seema Sarkar , Subhash Chandra

Aftershocks of the 2012 Off-Coast of Sumatra Earthquake Sequence exhibit a complex and diffuse spatial distribution. The first-order complexity in aftershock distribution is clear and well beyond the influence of typical earthquake location…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-26 Chengping Chai , Charles J. Ammon , K. Michael Cleveland

Earthquakes induced during hydraulic fracturing operations have occurred in a number of locales. However, in-situ studies aimed to discern the triggering mechanism remains exclusively statistical in their nature. Here, we calculate the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-23 Luyi W. Shen , Douglas R. Schmitt , Ryan Schultz

This paper has evolved out of our previous work on static stress transfer, where we used the full-space elastostatic Green's tensor to compute the Coulomb stress transfer impact of the Landers earthquake on the Hector Mine event. In this…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-05-01 Musa Maharramov

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion

As part of an effort to develop a systematic methodology for earthquake forecasting, we use a simple model of seismicity based on interacting events which may trigger a cascade of earthquakes, known as the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

A model for fault dynamics consisting of two rough and rigid brownian profiles that slide one over the other is introduced. An earthquake occurs when there is an intersection between the two profiles. The energy release is proportional to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-08-17 V. De Rubeis , R. Hallgass , V. Loreto , G. Paladin , L. Pietronero , P. Tosi