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Statistical dynamics of financial systems is investigated, based on a model of a randomly coupled equation system driven by a stochastic Langevin force. Anticorrelations of price returns, and subdiffusion of prices is found from the model,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Kestutis Staliunas

This paper examines the intra-day seasonality of transacted limit and market orders in the DEM/USD foreign exchange market. Empirical analysis of completed transactions data based on the Dealing 2000-2 electronic inter-dealer broking system…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 john cotter , kevin dowd

In the forthcoming ISDA Standard Credit Support Annex (SCSA), the trades denominated in non-G5 currencies as well as those include multiple currencies are expected to be allocated to the USD silo, where the contracts are collateralized by…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-09 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

Many studies have shown that there are good reasons to claim very low predictability of currency nevertheless, the deviations from true randomness exist which have potential predictive and prognostic power [J.James, Quantitative finance 3…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Tomáš Tokár , Denis Horváth

A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

Emerging markets such as India provide investors with returns far greater than those in developed markets; taking the average returns from the period 1995 to 2014 the returns are 4.714% to 3.276% of the developed market. The majority of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-28 Ganapathy G Gangadharan , N. Suresh

We perform return interval analysis of 1-min {\em{realized volatility}} defined by the sum of absolute high-frequency intraday returns for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) and 22 constituent stocks of SSEC. The scaling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-11 Fei Ren , Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

We study the return interval $\tau$ between price volatilities that are above a certain threshold $q$ for 31 intraday datasets, including the Standard & Poor's 500 index and the 30 stocks that form the Dow Jones Industrial index. For…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Fengzhong Wang , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose a new model for pricing Quanto CDS and risky bonds. The model operates with four stochastic factors, namely: hazard rate, foreign exchange rate, domestic interest rate, and foreign interest rate, and also allows for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-21 A. Itkin , V. Shcherbakov , A. Veygman

We present a simple hybrid dynamical model as a tool to investigate behavioral strategies based on trend following. The multiplicative symbolic dynamics are generated using a lognormal diffusion model for the at-the-money implied volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Alex Trifunovic

If financial markets displayed the informational efficiency postulated in the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH), arbitrage operations would be self-extinguishing. The present paper considers arbitrage sequences in foreign exchange (FX)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-27 Rod Cross , Victor Kozyakin

Currency carry trade is the investment strategy that involves selling low interest rate currencies in order to purchase higher interest rate currencies, thus profiting from the interest rate differentials. This is a well known financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Matthew Ames , Gareth W. Peters , Guillaume Bagnarosa , Ioannis Kosmidis

We propose Monte Carlo calibration algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and finally stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

A market fix serves as a benchmark for foreign exchange (FX) execution, and is employed by many institutional investors to establish an exact reference at which execution takes place. The currently most popular FX fix is the World Market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-01 Patrick Steffen Michelberger , Jan Hendrik Witte

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

A central problem of Quantitative Finance is that of formulating a probabilistic model of the time evolution of asset prices allowing reliable predictions on their future volatility. As in several natural phenomena, the predictions of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Dario Bovina , Francesco Camana , Attilio L. Stella

We develop a stochastic volatility framework for modeling multiple currencies based on CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes. The proposed framework captures the typical risk characteristics of FX markets and is coherent with the symmetries of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-11 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

An empirical analysis on Eurodollar interest rates daily data in the time period 1990-1996, is performed and compared with Libor data in the time period 1984-1998. The complementary cumulative distributions for the daily fluctuations at…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

The local Hurst exponent, a measure employed to detect the presence of dependence in a time series, may also be used to investigate the source of intraday variation observed in the returns in foreign exchange markets. Given that changes in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Jonathan A. Batten , Craig A. Ellis , Warren P. Hogan

Properties of low-variability periods in the time series are analysed. The theoretical approach is used to show the relationship between the multi-scaling of low-variability periods and multi-affinity of the time series. It is shown that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Kitt , J. Kalda