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The presented paper is devoted to the search for mathematical basis for describing the aftershock evolution of strong earthquakes. We consider the experimental facts and heuristic arguments that allow to make a choice and to focus on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-09-24 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

Scaling analysis of seismicity in the space-time-magnitude domain very often starts from the relation N(m,L)=a(L)*10**(-bm)*L**c for the rate of seismic events of magnitude M>m in an area of size L. There are some evidences in favor of…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Molchan , T. Kronrod

Multifractal processes are a relatively new tool of stock market analysis. Their power lies in the ability to take multiple orders of autocorrelations into account explicitly. In the first part of the paper we discuss the framework of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

The statistical properties of avalanches in a dissipative particulate system under slow shear are investigated using molecular dynamics simulations. It is found that the magnitude-frequency distribution obeys the Gutenberg-Richter law only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-31 Takahiro Hatano , Clément Narteau , Peter Shebalin

Hawkes process is one of the most commonly used models for investigating the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. However, seismicity patterns have complicated characteristics due to heterogeneous geology and stresses, for which…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-15 Junhyeon Kwon , Yingcai Zheng , Mikyoung Jun

The Omori-Utsu law shows the temporal power-law-like decrease of the frequency of earthquake aftershocks and, interestingly, is found in a variety of complex systems/phenomena exhibiting catastrophes. Now, it may be interpreted as a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki , Dmitrii A. Tayurskii

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

Omori Law describes the evolution of the aftershocks of a strong earthquake. Established at the end of the century before last, it is characterized by the beauty of its form, quite definite clarity, as a result of which it still attracts…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-14 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain , A. D. Zavyalov , O. D. Zotov

The emergence of a power-law distribution for the energy released during an earthquake is investigated in several models. Generic features are identified which are based on the self-affine behavior of the stress field prior to an event.…

Crustal deformation due to the 2016 earthquake sequence in Kumamoto, Japan, that culminated in a preceding earthquake of magnitude M6.5 and a subsequent M7.3 earthquake 28 hours later, caused stress perturbation on and around the causative…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Izutsu , Y. Orihara , M. Kamogawa

Recently, simple differential models of aftershocks have attracted increased attention of researchers at the Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences for their remarkable properties. The shortened Bernoulli equation…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi

We propose and study a modified version of the Olami-Feder-Christiensen model of seismicity, that includes a mechanism of structural relaxation. We obtain realistic features of seismicity that are not obtained with the original version,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-08-23 E. A. Jagla

We investigate the spatial distribution of aftershocks and we find that aftershock linear density exhibits a maximum, that depends on the mainshock magnitude, followed by a power law decay. The exponent controlling the asymptotic decay and…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-07-17 E. Lippiello , L. de Arcangelis , C. Godano

After the main shock of an earthquake, a stream of aftershocks that does not subside for a long time is usually observed. Fusakichi Omori found that the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically with time. It has recently been…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-31 Anatol Guglielmi , Alexey Zavyalov , Oleg Zotov , Boris Klain

Statistical properties of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model of earthquakes obeying the rate and state dependent friction law are studied by extensive computer simulations. The quantities computed include the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-19 Hikaru Kawamura , Yushi Ueda , Shingo Kakui , Syouji Morimoto , Takumi Yamamoto

The elementary theory of aftershocks, being relatively simple mathematically, belongs to the basics of earthquake physics. The paper briefly outlines the concepts and ideas of the theory, provides equations for the relaxation of the source…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-16 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

The cellular automaton model of Piegari, Di Maio, Scandone and Milano, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 202, 22-28 (2011) is extended to include magma-induced stress (i.e. a local magma-related augmentation of the stress field). This constitutes a…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 Olivia J. Butters , Graeme R. Sarson , Paul J. Bushby

This paper extends the existing fractional Hawkes process to better model mainshock-aftershock sequences of earthquakes. The fractional Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process model with temporal decay kernel being a Mittag-Leffler…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

We propose a new metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. The metric consists of a product involving the time interval and spatial distance between two events, as well as the magnitude of the first one. According to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

Magnetic systems can exhibit thermally activated transitions whose timescales are often described by an Arrhenius law. However, robust predictions of such timescales are only available for certain cases. Inspired by the harmonic theory of…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-04-02 Hugo Bocquet , Peter M. Derlet