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Sequences of aftershocks following Omori's empirical law are observed after most major earthquakes, as well as in laboratory-scale fault-mimicking experiments. Nevertheless, the origin of this memory effect is still unclear. In this letter,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-03-28 A. Mathey , J. Crassous , D. Marsan , J. Weiss , A. Amon

We present an analytical solution and numerical tests of the epidemic-type aftershock (ETAS) model for aftershocks, which describes foreshocks, aftershocks and mainshocks on the same footing. The occurrence rate of aftershocks triggered by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

We consider a branching model of triggered seismicity, the ETAS (epidemic-type aftershock sequence) model which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes (``aftershocks''). An aftershock sequence results in this model from…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

We consider two statistical regularities that were used to explain Omori's law of the aftershock rate decay: the Levy and Inverse Gaussian (IGD) distributions. These distributions are thought to describe stress behavior influenced by…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-24 Yan Y. Kagan

We study how a stress perturbation generated by a mainshock affects a population of faults obeying a rate-state friction law. Depending on the model parameters and on the initial state, the fault exhibits aftershocks, slow earthquakes, or…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Agnes Helmstetter , Bruce E. Shaw

We study the dynamical aspects of a statistical-mechanical model for fracture of heterogeneous media: the fiber bundle model with various interaction range. Although the model does not include any thermal activation process, the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-04 Subhadeep Roy , Takahiro Hatano

Numerical simulations and a mean-field analysis of a sandpile model of earthquake aftershocks in 1d, 2d and 3d euclidean lattices determine that the average stress decays in a punctuated fashion after a main shock, with events occurring at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. W. Lee , D. Sornette

The epidemic-type aftershock sequence model (ETAS) is a simple stochastic process modeling seismicity, based on the two best-established empirical laws, the Omori law (power law decay ~1/t^{1+\theta} of seismicity after an earthquake) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

In many important systems exhibiting crackling noise --- intermittent avalanche-like relaxation response with power-law and, thus, self-similar distributed event sizes --- the "laws" for the rate of activity after large events are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jörn Davidsen , Marco Baiesi

The elementary theory of relaxation of the source cooling down after the main shock of an earthquake is presented axiomatically. The names of the objects under study are given and the relationships between them are determined. A new basic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-18 A. V. Guglielmi

Thermally activated magnetization decay is studied in ensembles of clusters of interacting dipolar moments by applying the master-equation formalism, as a model of thermal relaxation in systems of interacting single-domain ferromagnetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 O. Hovorka , J. Barker , G. Friedman , R. W. Chantrell

The occurrence of aftershocks following a major financial crash manifests the critical dynamical response of financial markets. Aftershocks put additional stress on markets, with conceivable dramatic consequences. Such a phenomenon has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-21 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella , Marco Zamparo

The known Omori law is presented in the form of differential equation that describes the evolution of the aftershock activity. This equation is derived hypothetically with taking into account deactivation of the faults in epicentral zone of…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-04-26 Anatol V. Guglielmi

We find that multifractal scaling is a robust property of a large class of continuous stochastic processes, constructed as exponentials of long-memory processes. The long memory is characterized by a power law kernel with tail exponent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The analysis of the classical and mirror triads of the sequence of earthquakes has been carried out in order to find the equations of evolution of foreshocks and aftershocks. The differential equation with cubic (quadratic) nonlinearity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

We study analytically and by numerical simulations the statistics of the aftershocks generated after large avalanches in models of interface depinning that include viscoelastic relaxation effects. We find in all the analyzed cases that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 E. A. Jagla

A modified Carlson-Langer model for earthquakes is proposed, which includes nonlinear visco-elasticity. Several aftershocks are generated after the main shock owing to the damping of the additional visco-elastic force. Both the…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Kazuki Okamura

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

The paper is based on the report read by the author on October 24, 2018 at the meeting of the Scientific Council of the Institute of Earth Physics of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The report was dedicated to the 150th anniversary of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-07 A. V. Guglielmi

The aftershock productivity law, first described by Utsu in 1970, is an exponential function of the form K=K0.exp({\alpha}M) where K is the number of aftershocks, M the mainshock magnitude, and {\alpha} the productivity parameter. The Utsu…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-03-30 Arnaud Mignan