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Entropic tilting (ET) is a Bayesian decision-analytic method for constraining distributions to satisfy defined targets or bounds for sets of expectations. This report recapitulates the foundations and basic theory of ET for conditioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Emily Tallman , Mike West

Many complex systems are characterized by non-Boltzmann distribution functions of their statistical variables. If one wants to -- justified or not -- hold on to the maximum entropy principle for complex statistical systems (non-Boltzmann)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

Given a knowledge base KB containing first-order and statistical facts, we consider a principled method, called the random-worlds method, for computing a degree of belief that some formula Phi holds given KB. If we are reasoning about a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-25 A. J. Grove , J. Y. Halpern , D. Koller

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible while constrained to match empirically estimated feature expectations. However, in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Kenneth Bogert , Yikang Gui , Prashant Doshi

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer

We introduce the entropic measure transform (EMT) problem for a general process and prove the existence of a unique optimal measure characterizing the solution. The density process of the optimal measure is characterized using a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-22 Renjie Wang , Cody Hyndman , Anastasis Kratsios

Maximum entropy principle (MEP) offers an effective and unbiased approach to inferring unknown probability distributions when faced with incomplete information, while neural networks provide the flexibility to learn complex distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-04 Wuyue Yang , Liangrong Peng , Guojie Li , Liu Hong

We find that the standard relative entropy and the Umegaki entropy are designed for the purpose of inferentially updating probability and density matrices respectively. From the same set of inferentially guided design criteria, both of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-12-06 Kevin Vanslette

Multi-instance data, in which each object (bag) contains a collection of instances, are widespread in machine learning, computer vision, bioinformatics, signal processing, and social sciences. We present a maximum entropy (ME) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Behrouz Behmardi , Forrest Briggs , Xiaoli Z. Fern , Raviv Raich

We explore a method of statistical estimation called Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) which is based on an information-driven criterion that quantifies the compliance of a given point with a reference prior probability measure. At the core…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Yakov Vaisbourd , Rustum Choksi , Ariel Goodwin , Tim Hoheisel , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

The minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion has been successfully used in fields such as parameter estimation, system identification and the supervised machine learning. There is in general no explicit expression for the optimal MEE estimate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-14 Badong Chen , Guangmin Wang , Nanning Zheng , Jose C. Principe

The random matrix ensembles (RME) of quantum statistical Hamiltonians, e.g. Gaussian random matrix ensembles (GRME) and Ginibre random matrix ensembles (Ginibre RME), are applied in literature to following quantum statistical systems:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maciej M. Duras

In this paper an alternative approach to statistical mechanics based on the maximum information entropy principle (MaxEnt) is examined, specifically its close relation with the Gibbs method of ensembles. It is shown that the MaxEnt…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-30 Domagoj Kuic

The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

We construct the generalized entropy optimized by a given arbitrary statistical distribution with a finite linear expectation value of a random quantity of interest. This offers, via the maximum entropy principle, a unified basis for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sumiyoshi Abe

We consider the following frustrated optimization problem: given a prior probability distribution $q$, find the distribution $p$ minimizing the relative entropy with respect to $q$ such that $\textrm{mean}(p)$ is fixed and large. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-06 Matteo Smerlak

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

This thesis synthesizes probability and entropic inference with Quantum Mechanics (QM) and quantum measurement [1-6]. It is shown that the standard and quantum relative entropies are tools designed for the purpose of updating probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-04-25 Kevin Vanslette

Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Recently, the conditional maximum-entropy method (abbreviated as C-MaxEnt) has been proposed for selecting priors in Bayesian statistics in a very simple way. Here, it is examined for extreme-value statistics. For the Weibull type as an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-26 Sumiyoshi Abe
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