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The possibility of earthquake prediction is one of the key open questions in modern geophysics. We propose an approach based on the analysis of common short-term candidate precursors (2 weeks to 3 months prior to strong earthquake) with the…

General Physics · Physics 2015-03-20 Yuriy S. Polyakov , Gennadiy V. Ryabinin , Anna B. Solovyeva , Serge F. Timashev

The starting point of the present review is to acknowledge that there are innumerable reports of non-seismic types of earthquake precursory phenomena that are intermittent and seem not to occur systematically, while associated reports are…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-11-07 Friedemann Freund , Guy Ouillon , John Scoville , Didier Sornette

This research presents one possible way for imminent prediction of earthquake magnitude, depth and epicenter coordinates by solving the inverse problem using a data acquisition network system for monitoring, archiving and complex analysis…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-03 S. Cht. Mavrodiev

We examine the applicability of modern neural network architectures to the midterm prediction of earthquakes. Our data-based classification model aims to predict if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold takes place at a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Roman Kail , Alexey Zaytsev , Evgeny Burnaev

Earthquake prediction is one of the most pursued problems in geoscience. Different geological and seismological approaches exist for the prediction of the earthquake and its subsequent land change. However, in many cases, they fail in their…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-19 M. Kiani

Reliable earthquake forecasting methods have long been sought after, and so the rise of modern data science techniques raises a new question: does deep learning have the potential to learn this pattern? In this study, we leverage the large…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Jonas Koehler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Ruempker , Nishtha Srivastava

Here a method is presented for detecting precursors of earthquakes from time series data on earthquakes in a target region. Regional Entropy of Seismic Information, a quantity representing the average influence of an earthquake in the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Yukio Ohsawa

We propose a novel method for analyzing precursory seismic data before an earthquake that treats them as a Markov process and distinguishes the background noise from real fluctuations due to an earthquake. A short time (on the order of…

The article discusses the possibilities of three-step early warning and short-term prediction of earthquakes based on the classical geological model of fault formation and a model of the generation of electromagnetic emissions detected…

Random backpropagation (RBP) is a variant of the backpropagation algorithm for training neural networks, where the transpose of the forward matrices are replaced by fixed random matrices in the calculation of the weight updates. It is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Pierre Baldi , Peter Sadowski , Zhiqin Lu

While modern deep learning methods have shown great promise in the problem of earthquake detection, the most successful methods so far have been based on supervised learning, which requires large datasets with ground-truth labels. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Onur Efe , Arkadas Ozakin

Focal mechanisms of small earthquakes are critical for characterizing faults and regional stress. P-wave polarities and S/P amplitude ratios (e.g., in HASH) are widely used to determine focal mechanisms for small earthquakes, but…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-31 Miao Zhang

We construct a classification model that predicts if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold will take place at a given location in a time range 30-180 days from a given moment of time. A common approach is to use expert…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-28 P. Proskura , A. Zaytsev , I. Braslavsky , E. Egorov , E. Burnaev

Earthquakes are major hazards to humans, buildings and infrastructure. Early warning methods aim to provide advance notice of incoming strong shaking to enable preventive action and mitigate seismic risk. Their usefulness depends on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-01-12 Jannes Münchmeyer , Dino Bindi , Ulf Leser , Frederik Tilmann

Recursive learning -- where models are trained on data generated by previous versions of themselves -- is increasingly common in large language models, autonomous agents, and self-supervised systems. However, standard performance metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Zhipeng Zhang

We describe systematic ranging, an orbit determination technique especially suitable to assess the near-term Earth impact hazard posed by newly discovered asteroids. For these late warning cases, the time interval covered by the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , M. Micheli

The detection and rapid characterisation of earthquake parameters such as magnitude are of prime importance in seismology, particularly in applications such as Earthquake Early Warning (EEW). Traditionally, algorithms such as STA/LTA are…

Small-area precipitation forecasts support real-time decisions for reservoir operation, irrigation planning, drought monitoring, and flash-flood response. Operational value depends not only on point accuracy, but also on calibrated…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-27 Foo Hui-Mean , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

We report precursory seismic patterns prior to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes, as measured by four different methods based on changes in seismicity that can be used for earthquake forecasting: the b-value method, two methods of seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-08 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Izutsu , Y. Orihara , N. Furuse , S. Togo , H. Nitta , T. Okada , R. Tanaka , M. Kamogawa , T. Nagao

Earthquake signal detection is at the core of observational seismology. A good detection algorithm should be sensitive to small and weak events with a variety of waveform shapes, robust to background noise and non-earthquake signals, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-05 S. Mostafa Mousavi , Weiqiang Zhu , Yixiao Sheng , Gregory C. Beroza
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