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Related papers: A comparison of methods for confidence intervals

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The points at which the log likelihood falls by 1/2 from its maximum value are often used to give the `errors' on a result, i.e. the 68% central confidence interval. The validity of this is examined for two simple cases: a lifetime…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Roger Barlow

Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical "two sigma" confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals for the On-Off problem. The methods include all those in common use today. We derive explicit formulas for the limits and calculate the true coverage and the expected lengths of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-12-09 Wolfgang A. Rolke

We present a method of constructing statistical intervals that obtain a natural middle ground between Bayesian and frequentist statistical intervals, previously unexplored in literature: To a p% Bayesian credible interval we should assign a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Tim Ritmeester

A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

This paper concerns the construction of confidence intervals in standard seroprevalence surveys. In particular, we discuss methods for constructing confidence intervals for the proportion of individuals in a population infected with a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-05 Thomas J. DiCiccio , David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta and normally distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified vector. Define the parameter tau = c^T beta - t where c and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Gayan Dharmarathne

Standard random-effects meta-analysis methods perform poorly when applied to few studies only. Such settings however are commonly encountered in practice. It is unclear, whether or to what extent small-sample-size behaviour can be improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Svenja E. Seide , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Consider a linear regression model with n-dimensional response vector, regression parameter \beta = (\beta_1, ..., \beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, \sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is \theta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

We study frequentist confidence intervals based on graphical profile likelihoods (Wilks' theorem, likelihood integration), and the Feldman-Cousins (FC) prescription, a generalisation of the Neyman belt construction, in a setting with…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 Shubham Barua , Shantanu Desai , Mauricio Lopez-Hernandez , Eoin Ó Colgáin

The original frequentist approach for computing confidence intervals involves the construction of the confidence belt which provides a mapping of the observation in data into a subset of values for the parameter. There are different…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-18 Kristian Damlund Gregersen , Jørgen Beck Hansen

Given $n=mk$ $iid$ samples from $N(\theta,\sigma^2)$ with $\theta$ and $\sigma^2$ unknown, we have two ways to construct $t$-based confidence intervals for $\theta$. The traditional method is to treat these $n$ samples as $n$ groups and…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-11 Yu Zhang , Xiangzhong Fang

Don Fraser has given an interesting account of the agreements and disagreements between Bayesian posterior probabilities and confidence levels. In this comment I discuss some cases where the lack of such agreement is extreme. I then discuss…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-06 Larry Wasserman

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

Using a collection of simulated an real benchmarks, we compare Bayesian and frequentist regularization approaches under a low informative constraint when the number of variables is almost equal to the number of observations on simulated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gilles Celeux , Mohammed El Anbari , Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

In econometrics, many parameters of interest can be written as ratios of expectations. The main approach to construct confidence intervals for such parameters is the delta method. However, this asymptotic procedure yields intervals that may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Alexis Derumigny , Lucas Girard , Yannick Guyonvarch

This paper investigates interval estimation for a measurand that is known to be positive. Both the Neyman and Bayesian procedures are considered and the difference between the two, not always perceived, is discussed in detail. A solution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Giovanni Mana , CArlo Palmisano

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

This is a writeup, with some elaboration, of the talks by the two authors (a physicist and a statistician) at the first PHYSTAT Informal review on January 24, 2024. We discuss Bayesian and frequentist approaches to dealing with nuisance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-29 Robert D. Cousins , Larry Wasserman
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