English

On the lengths of $t$-based confidence intervals

Computation 2018-12-11 v1

Abstract

Given n=mkn=mk iidiid samples from N(θ,σ2)N(\theta,\sigma^2) with θ\theta and σ2\sigma^2 unknown, we have two ways to construct tt-based confidence intervals for θ\theta. The traditional method is to treat these nn samples as nn groups and calculate the intervals. The second, and less frequently used, method is to divide them into mm groups with each group containing kk elements. For this method, we calculate the mean of each group, and these kk mean values can be treated as iidiid samples from N(θ,σ2/k)N(\theta,\sigma^2/k). We can use these kk values to construct tt-based confidence intervals. Intuition tells us that, at the same confidence level 1α1-\alpha, the first method should be better than the second one. Yet if we define "better" in terms of the expected length of the confidence interval, then the second method is better because the expected length of the confidence interval obtained from the first method is shorter than the one obtained from the second method. Our work proves this intuition theoretically. We also specify that when the elements in each group are correlated, the first method becomes an invalid method, while the second method can give us correct results. We illustrate this with analytical expressions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1812.03214,
  title  = {On the lengths of $t$-based confidence intervals},
  author = {Yu Zhang and Xiangzhong Fang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1812.03214},
  year   = {2018}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T06:35:56.316Z