Better bootstrap t confidence intervals for the mean
Abstract
This article explores combinations of weighted bootstraps, like the Bayesian bootstrap, with the bootstrap method for setting approximate confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable in small samples. For this problem the usual bootstrap has good coverage but provides intervals with long and highly variable lengths. Those intervals can have infinite length not just for tiny , when the data have a discrete distribution. The BC bootstrap produces shorter intervals but tends to severely under-cover the mean. Bootstrapping the studentized mean with weights from a Beta distribution is shown to attain second order accuracy. It never yields infinite length intervals and the mean square bootstrap statistic is finite when there are at least three distinct values in the data, or two distinct values appearing at least three times each. In a range of small sample settings, the beta bootstrap intervals have closer to nominal coverage than the BC and shorter length than the multinomial bootstrap . The paper includes a lengthy discussion of the difficulties in constructing a utility function to evaluate nonparametric approximate confidence intervals.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2508.10083,
title = {Better bootstrap t confidence intervals for the mean},
author = {Art B. Owen},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2508.10083},
year = {2025}
}