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Many stochastic time series can be modelled by discrete random walks in which a step of random sign but constant length $\delta x$ is performed after each time interval $\delta t$. In correlated discrete time random walks (CDTRWs), the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-06 Claus Metzner

We study the dynamics of the linear and non-linear serial dependencies in financial time series in a rolling window framework. In particular, we focus on the detection of episodes of statistically significant two- and three-point…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-10 Milan Žukovič

We investigate intra-day foreign exchange (FX) time series using the inverse statistic analysis developed in [1,2]. Specifically, we study the time-averaged distributions of waiting times needed to obtain a certain increase (decrease)…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-05-05 M. H. Jensen , A. Johansen , F. Petroni , I. Simonsen

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

In this paper we explain the wild fluctuations of financial prices from the intrinsic amplifying feedback of speculative supply and demand. Formally, we show that an asset return follows a multiplicative random growth with exogenous input,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-11 Sabiou Inoua

Econophysics is a science in its infancy, born about ten years ago at this time of writing, at the crossing roads of physics, mathematics, computing and of course economics and finance. It also covers human sciences, because all economics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Marcel Ausloos

We have presented a novel technique of detecting intermittencies in a financial time series of the foreign exchange rate data of U.S.- Euro dollar(US/EUR) using a combination of both statistical and spectral techniques. This has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 A. N. Sekar Iyengar

In this paper we compare market price fluctuations with the response to fundamental price drops within the Lux-Marchesi model which is able to reproduce the most important stylized facts of real market data. Major differences can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. G. Zawadowski , R. Karadi , J. Kertesz

We study a fluctuation relation representing a nonequilibrium equality indicating that the ratio between the distribution of trajectories obtained by exchanging the initial and final positions is characterized by free energy differences for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-27 Kazuhiko Seki

As a strategy to complete games quickly, we investigate one-dimensional random walks where the step length increases deterministically upon each return to the origin. When the step length after the kth return equals k, the displacement of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. Ben-Naim , S. Redner

We study the nature of fluctuations in variety of price indices involving companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The fluctuations at multiple scales are extracted through the use of wavelets belonging to Daubechies basis. The fact…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Sayantan Ghosh , Arjun Banerjee , Jainendra Bahadur , P. Manimaran

A non-fungible token (NFT) market is a new trading invention based on the blockchain technology which parallels the cryptocurrency market. In the present work we study capitalization, floor price, the number of transactions, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Paweł Szydło , Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

A dynamical model of capital exchange is introduced in which a specified amount of capital is exchanged between two individuals when they meet. The resulting time dependent wealth distributions are determined for a variety of exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 S. Ispolatov , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Multifractal detrended cross-correlation methodology is described and applied to Foreign exchange (Forex) market time series. Fluctuations of high frequency exchange rates of eight major world currencies over 2010-2018 period are used to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-17 Robert Gębarowski , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż

We introduce an autoregressive-type model with self-modulation effects for a foreign exchange rate by separating the foreign exchange rate into a moving average rate and an uncorrelated noise. From this model we indicate that traders are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Takayuki Mizuno , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz

Stylized facts can be regarded as constraints for any modeling attempt of price dynamics on a financial market, in that an empirically reasonable model has to reproduce these stylized facts at least qualitatively. The dynamics of market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-12 Stefan Reimann , Andreas Tupak

Starting with a percolation model in $\Z^d$ in the subcritical regime, we consider a random walk described as follows: the probability of transition from $x$ to $y$ is proportional to some function $f$ of the size of the cluster of $y$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

Fluctuation scaling is observed phenomenon from complex networks through finance to ecology. It means that the variance and the mean of a specific quantity are related as $\ev{\sigma^2|n}\propto \ev{n|A}^{2\alpha}$ with $1/2\geq \alpha \geq…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz