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In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

We propose a novel framework for approximating the statistical properties of turbulent flows by combining variational methods for the search of unstable periodic orbits with resolvent analysis for dimensionality reduction. Traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-22 Thomas Burton , Sean Symon , Ati Sharma , Davide Lasagna

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Systems with stochastic time delay between the input and output present a number of unique challenges. Time domain noise leads to irregular alignments, obfuscates relationships and attenuates inferred coefficients. To handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Juan Camilo Orduz , Aaron Pickering

We present a deep neural network for a model-free prediction of a chaotic dynamical system from noisy observations. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict the conditional probability distribution of a state variable. The Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-05 Kyongmin Yeo

This paper aims to devise a generalized maximum likelihood (ML) estimator to robustly detect signals with unknown noise statistics in multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. In practice, there is little or even no statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Ke He , Le He , Lisheng Fan , Yansha Deng , George K. Karagiannidis , Arumugam Nallanathan

This paper considers robot motion planning under temporal logic constraints in probabilistic maps obtained by semantic simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM). The uncertainty in a map distribution presents a great challenge for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Jie Fu , Nikolay Atanasov , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

Stochastic gradient methods enable learning probabilistic models from large amounts of data. While large step-sizes (learning rates) have shown to be best for least-squares (e.g., Gaussian noise) once combined with parameter averaging,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Babichev , Francis Bach

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

This letter reports on a new method of analysing experimentally gained time series with respect to different types of noise involved, namely, we show that it is possible to differentiate between dynamical and measurement noise. This method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Siefert , J. Peinke , R. Friedrich

We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

In this letter, we employ and design the expectation--conditional maximization either (ECME) algorithm, a generalisation of the EM algorithm, for solving the maximum likelihood direction finding problem of stochastic sources, which may be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Ming-yan Gong , Bin Lyu

This paper describes several new algorithms for estimating the parameters of a periodic bandlimited signal from samples corrupted by jitter (timing noise) and additive noise. Both classical (non-random) and Bayesian formulations are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-08 Daniel S. Weller , Vivek K Goyal

We consider the problem of learning the parameters of a $N$-dimensional stochastic linear dynamics under both full and partial observations from a single trajectory of time $T$. We introduce and analyze a new estimator that achieves a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-08 Minh Vu , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Vuffray

We study the transport properties of nonautonomous chaotic dynamical systems over a finite time duration. We are particularly interested in those regions that remain coherent and relatively non-dispersive over finite periods of time,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Gary Froyland , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Adam Monahan

Autonomous robots typically incorporate complex sensors in their decision-making and control loops. These sensors, such as cameras and Lidars, have imperfections in their sensing and are influenced by environmental conditions. In this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-01 Guy Scher , Sadra Sadraddini , Russ Tedrake , Hadas Kress-Gazit

Applying chaos theory for secure digital communications is promising and it is well acknowledged that in such applications the underlying chaotic systems should be carefully chosen. However, the requirements imposed on the chaotic systems…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Yong Wang , Zhuo Liu , Leo Yu Zhang , Fabio Pareschi , Gianluca Setti , Guanrong Chen

Deterministic chaos permits a precise notion of a "perfect measurement" as one that, when obtained repeatedly, captures all of the information created by the system's evolution with minimal redundancy. Finding an optimal measurement is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

We provide a novel computer-assisted technique for systematically analyzing first-order methods for optimization. In contrast with previous works, the approach is particularly suited for handling sublinear convergence rates and stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach