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Near Earth Objects (NEOs) are a transient population of small bodies with orbits near or in the terrestrial planet region. They represent a mid-stage in the dynamical cycle of asteroids and comets, which starts with their removal from the…

We studied the Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) candidates posted on the Minor Planet Center's Near-Earth Object Confirmation Page (NEOCP) between years 2013 and 2016. Out of more than 17,000 NEA candidates, while the majority became either new…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-12 Peter Vereš , Matthew J. Payne , Matthew J. Holman , Davide Farnocchia , Gareth V. Williams , Sonia Keys , Ian Boardman

Massive data mining of image archives observed with large etendue facilities represents a great opportunity for orbital amelioration of poorly known virtual impactor asteroids (VIs). There are more than 1000 VIs known today; most of them…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 O. Vaduvescu , L. Curelaru , M. Popescu , B. Danila , D. Ciobanu

The number of binary asteroids in the near-Earth region might be significantly higher than expected. While Bottke and Melosh (1996) suggested that about 15% of the NEAs are binaries, as indicated from the frequency of double craters, and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Polishook , Noah Brosch

A simulation of de-biased population of NEAs is presented. The numerical integration of modeled orbits reveals geometrical conditions of close approaching NEAs to the Earth. The population with the absolute magnitude up to H=28 is simulated…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-20 Peter Vereš , Leonard Kornoš , Juraj Tóth

We estimate the total population of near-Earth objects (NEOs) in the Solar System, using an extensive, `Solar System to pixels' fake-asteroid simulation to debias detections of real NEOs by the ATLAS survey. Down to absolute magnitudes…

Determining the size and orbital distribution of the population of near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) is the focus of intense research, with the most recent models converging to a population of approximately $1000$ NEAs larger than 1 km and up to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-21 Pasquale Tricarico

In the past two decades an increasing interest in discovering Near Earth Objects has been noted in the astronomical community. Dedicated surveys have been operated for data acquisition and processing, resulting in the present discovery of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-10 T. Stefanut , V. Bacu , C. Nandra , D. Balasz , D. Gorgan , O. Vaduvescu

Processes such as the solar wind sputtering and micrometeorite impacts can modify optical properties of surfaces of airless bodies. This explains why spectra of the main belt asteroids, exposed to these `space weathering' processes over…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 David Nesvorny , William F. Bottke , David Vokrouhlicky , Clark R. Chapman , Scot Rafkin

It is customarily assumed that Earth-striking meteoroids are completely random, and that all the impacts must be interpreted as uncorrelated events distributed according to Poisson statistics. If this is correct, their impact dates must be…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-04 C. de la Fuente Marcos , R. de la Fuente Marcos

We seek evidence of the Yarkovsky effect among Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) by measuring the Yarkovsky-related orbital drift from the orbital fit. To prevent the occurrence of unreliable detections we employ a high precision dynamical model,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , D. Vokrouhlicky , A. Milani , F. Spoto

Fifteen orbital clusters (associations) were identified among ~20000 near Earth asteroids (NEAs). All associations were found with a high statistical reliability using a single linkage cluster analysis algorithm and three orbital similarity…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-25 Tadeusz J. Jopek

It has been 20 years since planning began for the 1995 United Nations International Conference on Near-Earth Objects. The conference proceedings established the scientific basis for an international organizational framework to support…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-09-11 J. L. Remo , H. J. Haubold

Context. The discovery and tracking of 2018 LA marks only the third instance in history that the parent body of a fireball has been identified before its eventual disintegration in our atmosphere. The subsequent recovery of meteorites from…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-21 C. de la Fuente Marcos , R. de la Fuente Marcos

In this article, theory-based analytical methodologies of astrophysics employed in the modern era are suitably operated alongside a test research-grade telescope to image and determine the orbit of a near-earth asteroid from original…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-16 Muhammad Farae , Cameron Woo , Anka Hu

Among the currently known Near Earth Objects (NEOs), roughly 1400 are classified as being potentially hazardous asteroids. The recent Chelyabinsk event has shown that these objects can pose a real threat to mankind. We illustrate that high…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-19 Siegfried Eggl , Anatoliy Ivantsov , Daniel Hestroffer , Davide Perna , David Bancelin , William Thuillot

Deflection missions to near-Earth asteroids will encounter non-negligible uncertainties in the physical and orbital parameters of the target object. In order to reliably assess future impact threat mitigation operations such uncertainties…

The Near Earth Object Surveyor mission has a requirement to find two-thirds of the potentially hazardous asteroids larger than 140 meters in size. In order to determine the mission's expected progress toward this goal during design and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-20 Joseph R. Masiero , Dar W. Dahlen , Amy K. Mainzer , William F. Bottke , Jennifer C. Bragg , James. M. Bauer , Tommy Grav

We used WISE-derived geometric albedos (p_V) and diameters, as well as geometric albedos and diameters from the literature, to produce more accurate diurnal Yarkovsky drift predictions for 540 near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) out of the current…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 C. R. Nugent , A. Mainzer , J. Masiero , T. Grav , J. Bauer

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao