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Related papers: A posteriori reading of Virtual Impactors impact p…

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Asteroids colliding with planets vary in composition and taxonomical type. Among Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are the V-types, basaltic asteroids that are classified via spectroscopic observations. In this work, we study the probability of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-31 M. A. Galiazzo , E. A. Silber , D. Bancelin

We study the time evolution of the impact probability for synthetic but realistic impacting and close approaching asteroids detected in a simulated all-sky survey. We use the impact probability to calculate the impact warning time as the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-26 Peter Vereš , Davide Farnocchia , Robert Jedicke , Federica Spoto

Short-arc orbit determination is crucial when an asteroid is first discovered. In these cases usually the observations are so few that the differential correction procedure may not converge. We have developed an initial orbit computation…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-13 F. Spoto , A. Del Vigna , A. Milani , G. Tommei , P. Tanga , F. Mignard , B. Carry , W. Thuillot , P. David

Typically, when estimating the prior transit probability, one assumes a uniform distribution for the cosine of the inclination angle i of the companion's orbit, which yields the familiar estimate of ~R_*/a. However, the posterior transit…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-02 Daniel J. Stevens , B. Scott Gaudi

Given a primary interest in "mitigation of the potential hazard" of near-Earth objects impacting the Earth, the subject of characterization takes on an aspect not normally present when considering asteroids as abstract bodies. Many…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Russell Schweickart , Clark Chapman , Dan Durda , Bill Bottke , David Nesvorny , Piet Hut

Asteroid 2009 FD could impact Earth between 2185 and 2196. The long term propagation to the possible impacts and the intervening planetary encounters make 2009 FD one of the most challenging asteroids in terms of hazard assessment. To…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 F. Spoto , A. Milani , D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , M. Micheli , G. B. Valsecchi , D. Perna , O. Hainaut

The population of near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) shows a large variety of objects in terms of physical and dynamical properties. They are subject to planetary encounters and to strong solar wind and radiation effects. Their study is also…

We consider a network of telescopes capable of scanning all the observable sky each night and targeting Near-Earth objects (NEOs) in the size range of the Tunguska-like asteroids, from 160 m down to 10 m. We measure the performance of this…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 D. Farnocchia , F. Bernardi , G. B. Valsecchi

We present an approach to estimate an upper bound for the impact probability of a potentially hazardous asteroid when part of the force model depends on unknown parameters whose statistical distribution needs to be assumed. As case study we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-30 C. Tardioli , D. Farnocchia , M. Vasile , S. R. Chesley

In the last decades Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) have become very important targets to study, since they can give us clues to the formation, evolution and composition of the Solar System. In addition, they may represent either a threat to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-24 S. Ieva , E. Dotto , D. Perna , M. A. Barucci , F. Bernardi , S. Fornasier , F. De Luise , E. Perozzi , A. Rossi , J. R. Brucato

The aim is to show that in case of low probability of asteroid collision with Earth, the appropriate selection and weighing of the data are crucial for the impact investigation, and to analyze the impact possibilities using extensive…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Malgorzata Krolikowska , Grzegorz Sitarski , Andrzej M. Soltan

Context: The measurement of the Yarkovsky effect on near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) is common practice in orbit determination today, and the number of detections will increase with the developments of new and more accurate telescopic surveys.…

We describe systematic ranging, an orbit determination technique especially suitable to assess the near-term Earth impact hazard posed by newly discovered asteroids. For these late warning cases, the time interval covered by the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , M. Micheli

Dynamical models of the asteroid delivery from the main belt suggest that the current impact flux of diameter D>10 km asteroids on the Earth is 0.5-1 per Gyr. Studies of the Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) population find a much higher flux, with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-10 D. Nesvorny , F. Roig

Earth is bombarded by meteors, occasionally by one large enough to cause a significant explosion and possible loss of life. Although the odds of a deadly asteroid strike in the next century are low, the most likely impact is by a relatively…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 John L. Tonry

Possible connections between the physical properties of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEA) and their orbital evolution were explored, with emphasis on binary asteroids. Our main starting hypothesis, suggested from the observations, was that the NEA…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mihailo Cubrovic

The study of asteroid families has provided tremendous insight into the forces that sculpted the main belt and continue to drive the collisional and dynamical evolution of asteroids. The identification of asteroid families within the NEO…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Hai Fu , Robert Jedicke , Daniel D. Durda , Ronald Fevig , James V. Scotti

Collisional threats posed by Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) are increasingly being confirmed by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and European Space Agency (ESA) sky surveys. Efforts to develop tools to perform modelling,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-14 Jude Muthini , Geoffrey O. Okeng'o

Increasing our knowledge of the orbits and compositions of Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) is important for a better understanding of the evolution of the Solar System and of life. The detection of serendipitous NEO appearances among the millions…

Studies on Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) throw light on discoveries, identification, orbit prediction and civil alert capabilities, including potential asteroid impact hazards. Due to various new observational programs, the discovery rate of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-21 J. Rukmini , G. Raghavendra , S. A. Ahmed , D. Shanti Priya , Syeda Azeem Unnisa