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One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, or floods due to persisting rains are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet

We consider synchronization of chaotic systems coupled indirectly through a common environmnet where the environment has an intrinsic dynmics of its own modulated via feedback from the systems. We find that a rich vareity of synchronization…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-05-05 V. Resmi , G. Ambika , R. E. Amritkar

There are three key factors of a system of coupled oscillators that characterize the interaction among them: coupling (how to affect), delay (when to affect) and topology (whom to affect). For each of them, the existing work has mainly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Enrique Mallada , Ao Tang

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

Monitoring continental precipitation over Europe with high resolution (2 km, 15 minutes) has been possible since the operational production of the OPERA composites from the European weather radar networks. The OPERA data are the essential…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-08 Shinju Park , Marc Berenguer , Daniel Sempere-Torres

This article explores a novel approach to time series forecasting applied to the context of Chennai's climate data. Our methodology comprises two distinct established time series models, leveraging their strengths in handling seasonality…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-11 Tanmay Kayal , Abhishek Das , U Saranya

We describe a new approach allowing for systematic causal attribution of weather and climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is purposely designed to facilitate its implementation at meteorological centers by relying on data…

This study presents the continuation of the analysis of variations of atmospheric and space weather parameters above Iberian Peninsula along two years near the 24th solar cycle maximum presented in Morozova et al. [2016]. Previously, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Anna L. Morozova , Paulo Ribeiro , Juan Jose Blanco , Tatiana V. Barlyaeva

We apply the phase-reduction analysis to examine synchronization properties of periodic fluid flows. The dynamics of unsteady flows are described in terms of the phase dynamics reducing the high-dimensional fluid flow to its single scalar…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-23 Kunihiko Taira , Hiroya Nakao

This paper addresses important control and observability aspects of the phase synchronization of two oscillators. To this aim a feedback control framework is proposed based on which issues related to master-slave synchronization are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-26 Luis Antonio Aguirre , Leandro Freitas

A moisture process with dynamics that switch after hitting a threshold gives rise to a rainfall process. This rainfall process is characterized by its random holding times for dry and wet periods. On average, the holding times for the wet…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Scott Hottovy , Samuel N. Stechmann

New observational facilities are beginning to enable insights into the three-dimensional (3D) nature of exoplanets. Transmission spectroscopy is the most widely used method for characterizing transiting temperate exoplanet's atmospheres,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-24 Nicholas Scarsdale , C. E. Harman , Thomas J. Fauchez

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program is a U.S. Department of Energy project that collects meteorological observations at several locations around the world in order to study how weather processes affect global climate change. As…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Joseph Guinness , Michael L. Stein

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

In recent years there has been a surge of interest in the statistics of record-breaking events in stochastic processes. Along with that, many new and interesting applications of the theory of records were discovered and explored. The record…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Gregor Wergen

Studying event time series is a powerful approach for analyzing the dynamics of complex dynamical systems in many fields of science. In this paper, we describe the method of event coincidence analysis to provide a framework for quantifying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-06 Jonathan F. Donges , Carl-Friedrich Schleussner , Jonatan F. Siegmund , Reik V. Donner

To study the diurnal evolution of the convective cloud field, we develop a precipitation cell tracking algorithm which records the merging and fragmentation of convective cells during their life cycles, and apply it on large eddy simulation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-27 Christopher Moseley , Olga Henneberg , Jan O. Haerter

Computing the agreement between two continuous sequences is of great interest in statistics when comparing two instruments or one instrument with a gold standard. The probability of agreement (PA) quantifies the similarity between two…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jonathan Acosta , Ronny Vallejos , Aaron M. Ellison , Felipe Osorio , Mario de Castro

In this paper, an analysis of hourly air temperatures in four groups of 32 stations of the UK highland (five stations), UK lowland (four stations), Italian highland (eleven stations), and Italian lowland (twelve stations) at various…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-29 Chalachew Muluken Liyew. Rosa Meo , Stefano Ferraris , Elvira Di Nardo
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