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Related papers: Prediction of long term stability by extrapolation

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It is conceivable that a few thousand confirmed exoplanets initially harboured satellites similar to the moons of the Solar system or larger. Could some of them have survived over the aeons of dynamical evolution to the present day? The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-05 Valeri V. Makarov , Michael Efroimsky

One way to warn of forthcoming critical transitions in Earth system components is using observations to detect declining system stability. It has also been suggested to extrapolate such stability changes into the future and predict tipping…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-14 Maya Ben-Yami , Andreas Morr , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers

Stability of economic model predictive control can be proven under the assumption that a strict dissipativity condition holds. This assumption has a clear interpretation in terms of the so-called rotated stage cost, which must have its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Mario Zanon

We calculate the survival probability P_S(t) up to time t of a tracer particle moving along a deterministic trajectory in a continuous d-dimensional space in the presence of diffusing but mutually noninteracting traps. In particular, for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

In this paper, we discuss three extrapolation methods for alpha-stable random fields with 1<alpha<=2. We justify them, giving proofs of the existence and uniqueness of the solutions for each method and providing sufficient conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Wolfgang Karcher , Elena Shmileva , Evgeny Spodarev

The standard intensity-based approach for modeling defaults is generalized by making the deterministic term structure of the survival probability stochastic via a common jump process. The survival copula of the vector of default times is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-16 Marius Hofert , Frederic Vrins

Oscillons are extremely long-lived, spatially-localized field configurations in real-valued scalar field theories that slowly lose energy via radiation of scalar waves. Before their eventual demise, oscillons can pass through (one or more)…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-08-05 Hong-Yi Zhang , Mustafa A. Amin , Edmund J. Copeland , Paul M. Saffin , Kaloian D. Lozanov

The survival problem for a diffusing particle moving among random traps is considered. We introduce a simple argument to derive the quenched asymptotics of the survival probability from the Lifshitz tail effect for the associated operator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-17 Ryoki Fukushima

An artificial neural network architecture, parameterization networks, is proposed for simulating extrapolated dynamics beyond observed data in dynamical systems. Parameterization networks are used to ensure the long term integrity of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-21 James P. L. Tan

Creep under a sustained load can persist for long times yet culminate in abrupt yielding or rupture, implying a finite lifetime even when the material appears solid. Here, we formulate lifetime prediction as Bayesian inference over an…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-01 Juan Carlos Verano-Espitia , Tero Mäkinen , Mikko J. Alava , Jérôme Weiss

In this article, we introduce Lyapunov-type results to investigate the stability of the trivial solution of a Stieltjes dynamical system. We utilize prolongation results to establish the global existence of the maximal solution. Using…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Lamiae Maia , Noha El Khattabi , Marlène Frigon

This work investigates the stability of (discrete) empirical interpolation for nonlinear model reduction and state field approximation from measurements. Empirical interpolation derives approximations from a few samples (measurements) via…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Benjamin Peherstorfer , Zlatko Drmač , Serkan Gugercin

Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan

One of the main reasons for topological persistence being useful in data analysis is that it is backed up by a stability (isometry) property: persistence diagrams of $1$-parameter persistence modules are stable in the sense that the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Tamal K. Dey , Cheng Xin

Persistence diagrams are efficient descriptors of the topology of a point cloud. As they do not naturally belong to a Hilbert space, standard statistical methods cannot be directly applied to them. Instead, feature maps (or representations)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Vincent Divol , Wolfgang Polonik

We present a new analysis of the stability of extended Floater-Hormann interpolants, in which both noisy data and rounding errors are considered. Contrary to what is claimed in the current literature, we show that the Lebesgue constant of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Andre Pierro de Camargo , Walter F. Mascarenhas

We consider a nonlinear partial differential equation of conservation type to describe the dynamics of vesicular stomatitis virus observed in aliquots of fixed particle number taken from an evolving clone at periodic intervals of time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Fernando G. Carvalhaes , Carla Goldman

We obtain stability estimates (with explicit constants) for the near field from the far field of a radiating solution of the Helmholtz equation. These estimates are based on new bounds for Hankel functions and quantify increasing stability…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Victor Isakov

The long time behaviour of the survival probability of initial state and its dependence on the initial states are considered, for the one dimensional free quantum particle. We derive the asymptotic expansion of the time evolution operator…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Manabu Miyamoto

The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Odile Sauzet