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An non-autonomous system is proposed to model the seasonal pattern of dengue fever. We found that an approximate threshold condition for infection persistence describes all possible behavior of the system. As far as we know, the kind of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 F. A. B. Coutinho , M. N. Burattini , L. F. Lopez , E. Massad

We obtain conditions for eradication and permanence of infection for a nonautonomous SIQR model with time-dependent parameters, that are not assumed to be periodic. The incidence is given by functions of all compartments and the threshold…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-05 César M. Silva

The transmission of vector infectious diseases, which produces complex spatiotemporal patterns, is analyzed by a periodically forced two-dimensional cellular automata model. The system, which comprises three population levels, is introduced…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2008-10-03 L. B. L. Santos , M. C. Costa , S. T. R. Pinho , R. F. S. Andrade , F. R. Barreto , M. G. Teixeira , M. L. Barreto

The issue of state estimation is considered for an SIR-SI epidemiological model describing a vector-borne disease such as dengue fever, subject to seasonal variations. Assuming continuous measurement of the incidence rate (that is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-08 Maria Soledad Aronna , Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Maria Aronna

We investigate how key epidemiological parameters shape both seasonal epidemics and the persistence of dengue transmission. Our findings confirm known mechanistic drivers of epidemic variability and introduce a ranking of parameter…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Cesar Alberto Rosales-Alcantar , Marcos A. Capistrán

For a non-autonomous SEIRS model with general incidence, that admits [T. Kuniya and Y. Nakata, Permanence and extinction for a nonautonomous SEIRS epidemic model, Appl. Math. Computing 218, 9321-9331 (2012)] as a very particular case, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-11-14 Joaquim P. Mateus , César M. Silva

Within many bacterial colonies, persister cells exist as a subpopulation that is tolerant to antibiotics and other stressors, yet not genetically distinct from the rest of the colony. A recent study has proposed epigenetic inheritance as a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Chongming Li , Tyler Meadows , Troy Day

A model describing the dynamics related to the spreading of non-lethal infectious diseases in a fixed-size population is proposed. The model consists of a non-linear delay-differential equation describing the time evolution of the increment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-05 A. Noviello , F. Romeo , R. De Luca

We construct an epidemic model for the transmission of dengue fever with an early-life stage in the vector dynamics and age-structure within hosts. The early-life stage of the vector is modeled via a general function that supports multiple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-01 Fabio Sanchez , Juan G. Calvo

It is possible to model vector-borne infection using the classical Ross-Macdonald model. This attempt, however fails in several respects. First, using measured (or estimated) parameters, the model predicts a much greater number of cases…

Dengue transmission is shaped by the population dynamics of the Aedes aegypti mosquito, making vector control a central strategy for disease mitigation. The impact of interventions such as larvicide, adulticide, and breeding-site reduction…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Aram Vajdi , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Caterina M. Scoglio , Heman Shakeri

We present an epidemiological model for vector-borne diseases that includes within-host viral load and antibody dynamics using structured transport equations. By incorporating the internal dynamics into the infected and recovered host…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Paulo Amorim , Maria Soledad Aronna , Debora de Oliveira Medeiros

Dengue continues to pose a major global threat, infecting nearly 390 million people annually. Recognizing the pivotal role of vector competence (vc), recent research focuses on mosquito parameters to inform transmission modeling and vector…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-07 Piyumi Chathurangika , Tharushika Peiris , Lakmini S. Premadasa , S. S. N. Perera , Kushani De Silva

This paper investigates a behavioral-feedback SIR model in which the infection rate adapts dynamically based on the fractions of susceptible and infected individuals. We introduce an invariant of motion and we characterize the peak of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-17 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

In this paper we study a nonlinear reaction-diffusion system which models an infectious disease caused by bacteria such as those for cholera. One of the significant features in this model is that a certain portion of the recovered human…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Hong-Ming Yin , Jun Zou

We argue that immune system is an adaptive complex system. It is shown that it has emergent properties. Its network structure is of the small world network type. The network is of the threshold type, which helps in avoiding autoimmunity. It…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-08 E. Ahmed , A. H. Hashish

Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes. The worldwide spread of these mosquitoes and the increasing disease burden have emphasized the need for a spatio-temporal risk map capable of assessing dengue outbreak…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-11 Aram Vajdi , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Caterina M. Scoglio

Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted from an infected human to an Aedes mosquito, during a blood-meal. Dengue is still a major public health problem. A model for the disease transmission is presented, composed by human and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres

The annual occurrence of many infectious diseases remains a constant burden to public health systems. The seasonal patterns in respiratory disease incidence observed in temperate regions have been attributed to the impact of environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-13 Marguerite Robinson , Yannis Drossinos , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

We propose an SEIR model for the populations and an SEI model for the vector to describe the transmission dynamics of a four-strain model with both primary and secondary dengue infections. In order to accomplish this, we propose and obtain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-18 Raul Isea
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