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We study the spread of an SIRS-type epidemic with vaccination on network. Starting from an exact Markov description of the model, we investigate the mean epidemic lifetime by providing a sufficient condition for fast extinction that depends…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi

A theoretical framework for the description of Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) spreading processes with synergistic transmission of infection on a lattice is developed. The model incorporates explicitly the effects of a time-dependent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-25 Sergei Taraskin , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

We investigate the time-evolution and steady states of the stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible(SIRS) epidemic model on one- and two- dimensional lattices. We compare the behavior of this system, obtained from computer…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Jaewook Joo , Joel L. Lebowitz

By incorporating segregated spatial domain and individual-based linkage into the SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, we investigate the coupled effects of random walk and intragroup interaction on contagion. Compared with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-05 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Rong-Da Chen , Tian Qiu , Chen-Yang Zhong

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-14 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

In this work, to support decision making of immunisation strategies, we propose the inclusion of two vaccination doses in the SEIR model considering a stochastic cellular automaton. We analyse three different scenarios of vaccination: $i)…

Studies of the phase diagram of the coupled sine circle map lattice have identified the presence of two distinct universality classes of spatiotemporal intermittency viz. spatiotemporal intermittency of the directed percolation class with a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-09-14 Zahera Jabeen , Neelima Gupte

The pattern formation and spatial spread of infectious populations are investigated using a kernel-based Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model applicable across a wide range of basic reproduction numbers $R_o$. The focus is on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-13 Shuolin Li , Craig Henriquez , Gabriel Katul

Our recent experience with the COVID-19 pandemic amply shows that spatial effects like the mobility of agents and average interpersonal distance, together with the adaptation of agents, are very important in deciding the outcome of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-13 Akhil Panicker , V Sasidevan

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

An investigation was conducted to study the robustness of the results obtained from the cellular automata model which describes the spread of the HIV infection within lymphoid tissues [R. M. Zorzenon dos Santos and S. Coutinho, Phys. Rev.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-07-21 P. H. Figueirêdo , S. Coutinho , R. M. Zorzenon dos Santos

Human behavior, and in particular vaccine hesitancy, is a critical factor for the control of childhood infectious disease. Here we propose a spatio-temporal behavioral epidemiology model where the vaccine propensity depends on information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-04 Malay Banerjee , Samiran Ghosh , Piero Manfredi , Alberto d'Onofrio

We use a cellular automata model to study the evolution of HIV infection and the onset of AIDS. The model takes into account the global features of the immune response to any pathogen, the fast mutation rate of the HIV and a fair amount of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rita Maria Zorzenon dos Santos , Sergio Coutinho

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-26 Steven P. Lalley

Recently the A/H1N1-2009 virus pandemic appeared in Mexico and in other nations. We present a study of this pandemic in the Mexican case using the SIR model to describe epidemics. This model is one of the simplest models but it has been a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-10-26 Mario A. Rodriguez-Meza

In this paper we elaborate on homogeneous and heterogeneous SIR-type epidemiological models. We find an unexpected correspondence between the epidemic trajectory of a transmissible disease in a homogeneous SIR-type model and radial null…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-04 Silke Klemm , Lucrezia Ravera

Various lattice gas automata have been proposed in the past decades to simulate physics and address a host of problems on collective dynamics arising in diverse fields. In this work, we employ the lattice gas model defined on the sphere to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-29 Zhenwei Yao

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House