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Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

Assigning passenger trips to specific network paths using automatic fare collection (AFC) data is a fundamental application in urban transit analysis. The task is a difficult inverse problem: the only available information consists of each…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-31 Xiaoxu Chen , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Zhenliang Ma , Lijun Sun

We consider stochastic thermodynamics as a theory of statistical inference for experimentally observed fluctuating time-series. To that end, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the knowledge about the dynamical state of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Bernhard Altaner , Jürgen Vollmer

The article deals with the mathematical model for media with hierarchical structure. Using the hamiltonian formalism, the dynamical system describing the state of hierarchically connected structural elements was derived. According to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-20 V. A. Danylenko , S. V. Mykulyak , S. I. Skurativskyi

We study systems of Brownian particles on the real line, which interact by splitting the local times of collisions among themselves in an asymmetric manner. We prove the strong existence and uniqueness of such processes and identify them…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Ioannis Karatzas , Soumik Pal , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We study three classes of continuous time Markov processes (inclusion process, exclusion process, independent walkers) and a family of interacting diffusions (Brownian energy process). For each model we define a boundary driven process…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Gioia Carinci , Cristian Giardina' , Claudio Giberti , Frank Redig

Although the notion of diagnostic problem has been extensively investigated in the context of static systems, in most practical applications the behavior of the modeled system is significantly variable during time. The goal of the paper is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Luigi Portinale

In this work, we present a general method to establish properties of multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chains representing stochastic reaction networks. This method consists of grouping states together (via a partition of the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Guillaume Ballif , Laurent Pfeiffer , Jakob Ruess

The transition mechanism of jump processes between two different subsets in state space reveals important dynamical information of the processes and therefore has attracted considerable attention in the past years. In this paper, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Max von Kleist , Christof Schütte , Wei Zhang

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

The propagation of an initially localized perturbation via an interacting many-particle Hamiltonian dynamics is investigated. We argue that the propagation of the perturbation can be captured by the use of a continuous-time random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-11 V. Zaburdaev , S. Denisov , P. Hanggi

Motivated by applications to a wide range of assemble-to-order systems, operations scheduling, healthcare systems and collaborative economy applications, we introduce a stochastic matching model on hypergraphs, extending the model in [15]…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Youssef Rahmé , Pascal Moyal

We present a method for pursuit/evasion that is highly efficient and and scales to large teams of aircraft. The underlying algorithm is an efficient algorithm for solving Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) that supports fully continuous state…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-09-11 Joshua R. Bertram , Peng Wei

To study a chaotic itinerant motion among varieties of ordered states, we propose a stochastic model based on the mechanism of chaotic itinerancy. The model consists of a random walk on a half-line, and a Markov chain with a transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jun Namikawa

Many natural and engineered complex networks have intricate mesoscopic organization, e.g., the clustering of the constituent nodes into several communities or modules. Often, such modularity is manifested at several different hierarchical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-30 Sitabhra Sinha , Swarup Poria

We investigate the stochastic transfer synchronization problem, which seeks to synchronize the timetables of different routes in a transit network to reduce transfer waiting times, delay times, and unnecessary in-vehicle times. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Zahra Ansarilari , Merve Bodur , Amer Shalaby

Random walks find applications in many areas of science and are the heart of essential network analytic tools. When defined on temporal networks, even basic random walk models may exhibit a rich spectrum of behaviours, due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

Stochastic models in which agents interact with their neighborhood according to a network topology are a powerful modeling framework to study the emergence of complex dynamic patterns in real-world systems. Stochastic simulations are often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Gerrit Großmann , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

A version of the time-parallel algorithm parareal is analyzed and applied to stochastic models in chemical kinetics. A fast predictor at the macroscopic scale (evaluated in serial) is available in the form of the usual reaction rate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-16 Stefan Engblom