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We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

In applications of dynamical systems, situations can arise where it is desired to predict the onset of synchronization as it can lead to characteristic and significant changes in the system performance and behaviors, for better or worse. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-30 Huawei Fan , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai , Xingang Wang

We consider the task of motion control for non-prehensile manipulation using parallel kinematics mechatronic setup, in particular, stabilization of a ball on a plate under unmeasured external harmonic disturbances. System parameters are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Dmitrii Dobriborsci , Sergey Kolyubin , Alexey Bobtsov

For linear time-invariant systems with uncertain parameters belonging to a finite set, we present a purely deterministic approach to multiple-model estimation and propose an algorithm based on the minimax criterion using constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Olle Kjellqvist , Anders Rantzer

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

The curve time series framework provides a convenient vehicle to accommodate some nonstationary features into a stationary setup. We propose a new method to identify the dimensionality of curve time series based on the dynamical dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-13 Neil Bathia , Qiwei Yao , Flavio Ziegelmann

This paper explores learning emulators for parameter estimation with uncertainty estimation of high-dimensional dynamical systems. We assume access to a computationally complex simulator that inputs a candidate parameter and outputs a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Ruoxi Jiang , Rebecca Willett

We describe a method to model nonlinear dynamical systems using periodic solutions of delay-differential equations. We show that any finite-time trajectory of a nonlinear dynamical system can be loaded approximately into the initial…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander N. Jourjine

We propose an adaptive algorithm for identifying the unknown parameter in a linear exponentially stable single-input single-output infinite-dimensional system. We assume that the transfer function of the infinite-dimensional system can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-22 Sudipta Chattopadhyay , Srikant Sukumar , Vivek Natarajan

We introduce a new strategy for coupling the parallel in time (parareal) iterative methodology with multiscale integrators. Following the parareal framework, the algorithm computes a low-cost approximation of all slow variables in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Gil Ariel , Seong Jun Kim , Richard Tsai

We study the problem of identifying the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to samples generated by a similar (but not identical) system, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted least squares approach and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Lei Xin , Lintao Ye , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

We consider adaptive control problem in presence of nonlinear parametrization of uncertainties in the model. It is shown that despite traditional approaches require for domination in the control loop during adaptation, it is not often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Cees van Leeuwen

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

This paper describes a new approach to solving some stochastic optimization problems for linear dynamic system with various parametric uncertainties. Proposed approach is based on application of tensor formalism for creation the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-15 Vadim Yatsenko

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

We present a hybrid scheme for the parameter and state estimation of nonlinear continuous-time systems, which is inspired by the supervisory setup used for control. State observers are synthesized for some nominal parameter values and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Michelle S. Chong , Dragan Nešić , Romain Postoyan , Levin Kuhlmann

Online parameter identification is of importance, e.g., for model predictive control. Since the parameters have to be identified simultaneously to the process of the modeled system, dynamical update laws are used for state and parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Romana Boiger , Barbara Kaltenbacher

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli