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This paper presents a method for investigating, through an automatic procedure, the (lack of) identifiability of parametrized dynamical models. This method takes into account constraints on parameters and returns parameters whose…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Nathalie Verdière , Sébastien Orange

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

Many applications of computational fluid dynamics require multiple simulations of a flow under different input conditions. In this paper, a numerical algorithm is developed to efficiently determine a set of such simulations in which the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Max Gunzburger , Nan Jiang , Zhu Wang

Parameter estimation in linear errors-in-variables models typically requires that the measurement error distribution be known (or estimable from replicate data). A generalized method of moments approach can be used to estimate model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-04 Linh Nghiem , Michael Byrd , Cornelis Potgieter

We study the fundamental problem of learning a marginally stable unknown nonlinear dynamical system. We describe an algorithm for this problem, based on the technique of spectral filtering, which learns a mapping from past observations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Evan Dogariu , Anand Brahmbhatt , Elad Hazan

In control and engineering community, models generally contain a number of parameters which are unknown or roughly known. A complete knowledge of these parameters is critical to describe and analyze the dynamics of the system. This paper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-30 Fei Sun , Kamran Turkoglu

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

We present a nonparametric way to retrieve a system of differential equations in embedding space from a single time series. These equations can be treated with dynamical systems theory and allow for long term predictions. We demonstrate the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Markus Abel , Karsten Ahnert , Juergen Kurths , Simon Mandelj

We experimentally observe the nonlinear dynamics of an optoelectronic time-delayed feedback loop designed for chaotic communication using commercial fiber optic links, and we simulate the system using delay differential equations. We show…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-08-24 Adam B. Cohen , Bhargava Ravoori , Thomas E. Murphy , Rajarshi Roy

Dynamic statistical process monitoring methods have been widely studied and applied in modern industrial processes. These methods aim to extract the most predictable temporal information and develop the corresponding dynamic monitoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Wei Fan , Qinqin Zhu , Shaojun Ren , Liang Zhang , Fengqi Si

Recently, a framework for controller design of sampled-data nonlinear systems via their approximate discrete-time models has been proposed in the literature. In this paper we develop novel tools that can be used within this framework and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dragan Nesic , Antonio Loria

We discuss the possibility of applying some standard statistical methods (the least square method, the maximum likelihood method, the method of statistical moments for estimation of parameters) to deterministically chaotic low-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

Time series anomaly detection is crucial for industrial monitoring services that handle a large volume of data, aiming to ensure reliability and optimize system performance. Existing methods often require extensive labeled resources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Manqing Dong , Zhanxiang Zhao , Yitong Geng , Wentao Li , Wei Wang , Huai Jiang

Despite their deterministic nature, dynamical systems often exhibit seemingly random behaviour. Consequently, a dynamical system is usually represented by a probabilistic model of which the unknown parameters must be estimated using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Kasun Fernando , Nan Zou

We propose a novel flexible-step model predictive control algorithm for unknown linear time-invariant discrete-time systems. The goal is to asymptotically stabilize the system without relying on a pre-collected dataset that describes its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Pietschner , Christian Ebenbauer , Bahman Gharesifard , Raik Suttner

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

We consider systems under uncertainty whose dynamics are partially unknown. Our aim is to study satisfaction of temporal logic properties by trajectories of such systems. We express these properties as signal temporal logic formulas and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Ali Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani
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