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An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

The paper deals with joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear continuous-time systems. Based on a guaranteed LPV approximation, the set adaptive observers design problem is solved avoiding the exponential complexity obstruction…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2010-12-06 Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Ali Zolghadri

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of observations related to the state is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-25 Benjamin Cox , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

This work presents a scalable control framework based on nonlinear Model Predictive Control for high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach addresses the key challenges of model scalability and partial observability by…

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

This paper studies the task of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models, in the presence of covariate effects. We propose a novel Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) for panel data models, that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-28 Guanhao Zhou , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

This paper analyzes a semiparametric model of network formation in the presence of unobserved agent-specific heterogeneity. The objective is to identify and estimate the preference parameters associated with homophily on observed attributes…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-01 Luis E. Candelaria

This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-27 Ryo Okui , Wendun Wang

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

In this paper we address the challenging problem of designing globally convergent estimators for the parameters of nonlinear systems containing a non-separable exponential nonlinearity. This class of terms appears in many practical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Ramon Costa-Castello , Nikolay Nikolaev

Sufficiently accurate finite state models, also called symbolic models or discrete abstractions, allow one to apply fully automated methods, originally developed for purely discrete systems, to formally reason about continuous and hybrid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-03 Gunther Reißig

This paper develops statistical methods for determining the number of components in panel data finite mixture regression models with regression errors independently distributed as normal or more flexible normal mixtures. We analyze the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-12 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara

We consider generalized linear regression analysis with left-censored covariate due to the lower limit of detection. Complete case analysis by eliminating observations with values below limit of detection yields valid estimates for…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-09 Shengchun Kong , Bin Nan

Latent autoregressive processes are a popular choice to model time varying parameters. These models can be formulated as nonlinear state space models for which inference is not straightforward due to the high number of parameters. Therefore…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-01 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

This paper discusses a general framework for designing robust state estimators for a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems. We consider systems that may be impacted by impulsive (sparse but otherwise arbitrary) measurement noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Vincent Andrieu , Qinghua Zhang

In longitudinal studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up, or miss some of the planned visits, leading to incomplete response sequences. When the probability of non-response, conditional on the available covariates and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Alessandra Spagnoli , Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfò

We describe a novel procedure for deciding when a mass-action model is incompatible with observed steady-state data that does not require any parameter estimation. Thus, we avoid the difficulties of nonlinear optimization typically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-30 Heather A. Harrington , Kenneth L. Ho , Thomas Thorne , Michael P. H. Stumpf

We introduce a nonresponse mechanism for multivariate missing data in which each study variable and its nonresponse indicator are conditionally independent given the remaining variables and their nonresponse indicators. This is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-05 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

Many panel data methods, while allowing for general dependence between covariates and time-invariant agent-specific heterogeneity, place strong a priori restrictions on feedback: how past outcomes, covariates, and heterogeneity map into…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-15 Stéphane Bonhomme , Kevin Dano , Bryan S. Graham

Panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive effects standardly assume that the time effects -- or ``common factors'' -- enter linearly. This assumption is restrictive because it concerns an unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Christina Maschmann , Joakim Westerlund
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