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The predictive capability of a modification of Rissanen's accumulated prediction error (APE) criterion, APE$_{\delta_n}$, is investigated in infinite-order autoregressive (AR($\infty$)) models. Instead of accumulating squares of sequential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ching-Kang Ing

The fixed-effects model estimates the regressor effects on the mean of the response, which is inadequate to summarize the variable relationships in the presence of heteroscedasticity. In this paper, we adapt the asymmetric least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-11 Amadou Barry , Karim Oualkacha , Arthur Charpentier

We consider least squares estimation in a general nonparametric regression model. The rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) for the unknown regression function is well studied when the errors are sub-Gaussian. We find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Rohit K. Patra

This paper is concerned with the least squares estimator for a basic class of nonlinear autoregressive models, whose outputs are not necessarily to be ergodic. Several asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator have been…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Zhaobo Liu , Chanying Li

In this paper we develop pivotal inference for the final (FPE) and relative final prediction error (RFPE) of linear forecasts in stationary processes. Our approach is based on a self-normalizing technique and avoids the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Holger Dette , Sebastian Kühnert

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the least square estimator in a linear regression model based on random observation instances. We provide mild assumptions on the moments and dependence structure on the randomly spaced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

We study parameter estimation and asymptotic inference for sparse nonlinear regression. More specifically, we assume the data are given by $y = f( x^\top \beta^* ) + \epsilon$, where $f$ is nonlinear. To recover $\beta^*$, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Yonina C. Eldar , Tong Zhang

We consider high-dimensional sparse regression problems in which we observe $y = X \beta + z$, where $X$ is an $n \times p$ design matrix and $z$ is an $n$-dimensional vector of independent Gaussian errors, each with variance $\sigma^2$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Weijie Su , Emmanuel Candes

We reassess the use of linear models to approximate response probabilities of binary outcomes, focusing on average partial effects (APE). We confirm that linear projection parameters coincide with APEs in certain scenarios. Through…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-19 Kaicheng Chen , Robert S. Martin , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

This paper investigates multistep prediction errors for non-stationary autoregressive processes with both model order and true parameters unknown. We give asymptotic expressions for the multistep mean squared prediction errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Ching-Kang Ing , Jin-Lung Lin , Shu-Hui Yu

This paper discusses asymptotic distributions of various estimators of the underlying parameters in some regression models with long memory (LM) Gaussian design and nonparametric heteroscedastic LM moving average errors. In the simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongwen Guo , Hira L. Koul

In this paper, the estimation of parameters in the harmonic regression with cyclically dependent errors is addressed. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimates are analyzed by simulation experiments. By numerical simulation, we…

Misspecified models often provide useful information about the true data generating distribution. For example, if $y$ is a non-linear function of $x$ the least squares estimator $\hat{\beta}$ is an estimate of $\beta$, the slope of the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-17 James P. Long

In this note a new high performance least squares parameter estimator is proposed. The main features of the estimator are: (i) global exponential convergence is guaranteed for all identifiable linear regression equations; (ii) it…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Romeo Ortega , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Stanislav Aranovskiy

Let $\{Z_n\}$ be a real nonstationary stochastic process such that $E(Z_n|{\mathcaligr F}_{n-1})\stackrel{\mathrm{a.s.}}{<}\infty$ and $E(Z^2_n|{\mathcaligr F}_{n-1})\stackrel{\mathrm{a.s.}}{<}\infty$, where $\{{\mathcaligr F}_n\}$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Christine Jacob

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

Error-in-variables regression is a common ingredient in treatment effect estimators using panel data. This includes synthetic control estimators, counterfactual time series forecasting estimators, and combinations. We study high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 David A. Hirshberg

We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models with regime changes under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Landy Rabehasaina
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