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We study the optimal linear prediction of a random function that takes values in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. We begin by characterizing the mean square prediction error (MSPE) associated with a linear predictor and discussing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Won-Ki Seo

We consider the problem of nonparametric regression under shape constraints. The main examples include isotonic regression (with respect to any partial order), unimodal/convex regression, additive shape-restricted regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Classical least squares estimators are well-known to be robust with respect to moment assumptions concerning the error distribution in a wide variety of finite-dimensional statistical problems; generally only a second moment assumption is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

Small area estimation has received enormous attention in recent years due to its wide range of application, particularly in policy making decisions. The variance based on direct sample size of small area estimator is unduly large and there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti

Linear regression with normally distributed errors - including particular cases such as ANOVA, Student's t-test or location-scale inference - is a widely used statistical procedure. In this case the ordinary least squares estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Alain Desgagné

In this paper, we address the problem of parameter estimation of a 2-D chirp model under the assumption that the errors are stationary. We extend the 2-D periodogram method for the sinusoidal model, to find initial values to use in any…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-26 Rhythm Grover , Debasis Kundu , Amit Mitra

Ensemble methods that average over a collection of independent predictors that are each limited to a subsampling of both the examples and features of the training data command a significant presence in machine learning, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-26 Daniel LeJeune , Hamid Javadi , Richard G. Baraniuk

In this paper, we construct an estimator of an errors-in-variables linear regression model. The regression model leads to a constrained total least squares problems with row and column constraints. Although this problem can be numerically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kensuke Aishima

We provide an asymptotic expansion of the maximal mean squared error (MSE) of the sample median to be attained on shrinking gross error neighborhoods about an ideal central distribution. More specifically, this expansion comes in powers of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Peter Ruckdeschel

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

Previous analysis on forecasting theory either assume knowing the true parameters or assume the stationarity of the series. Not much are known on the forecasting theory for nonstationary process with estimated parameters. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jin-Lung Lin , Ching-Zong Wei

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-16 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Boris Golden , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

Generalized estimating equations (GEE) are widely used to analyze longitudinal data; however, they are not appropriate for heteroscedastic data, because they only estimate regressor effects on the mean response{\textemdash}and therefore do…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Amadou Barry , Karim Oualkacha , Arthur Charpentier

We study least squares linear regression over $N$ uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features $p$ is at most the sample size $n$, the estimator under consideration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu

Sorted L-One Penalized Estimator (SLOPE) is a relatively new convex optimization procedure for selecting predictors in large data bases. Contrary to LASSO, SLOPE has been proved to be asymptotically minimax in the context of sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Michał Kos , Małgorzata Bogdan

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-09 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

In this paper we derive a second-order unbiased (or nearly unbiased) mean squared prediction error (MSPE) estimator of the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area mean for a semi-parametric extension to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Shijie Chen , P. Lahiri , J. N. K. Rao

We consider the problem of inference for projection parameters in linear regression with increasing dimensions. This problem has been studied under a variety of assumptions in the literature. The classical asymptotic normality result for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Woonyoung Chang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Alessandro Rinaldo