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We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

The aim of ordinal classification is to predict the ordered labels of the output from a set of observed inputs. Interval-valued data refers to data in the form of intervals. For the first time, interval-valued data and interval-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-06 Aleix Alcacer , Marina Martínez-Garcia , Irene Epifanio

This paper is dedicated to a robust ordinal method for learning the preferences of a decision maker between subsets. The decision model, derived from Fishburn and LaValle (1996) and whose parameters we learn, is general enough to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Hugo Gilbert , Mohamed Ouaguenouni , Meltem Ozturk , Olivier Spanjaard

Classification is an important supervised machine learning method, which is necessary and challenging issue for ecological research. It offers a way to classify a dataset into subsets that share common patterns. Notably, there are many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Md. Siraj-Ud-Doula , Md. Ashad Alam

In many real-world prediction tasks, class labels contain information about the relative order between labels that are not captured by commonly used loss functions such as multicategory cross-entropy. Recently, the preference for unimodal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Jaime S. Cardoso , Ricardo Cruz , Tomé Albuquerque

This paper considers the problem of robust adaptive efficient estimating of a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent noises given by a general square integrable semimartingale with a conditionally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

We propose a new statistical model for computational linguistics. Rather than trying to estimate directly the probability distribution of a random sentence of the language, we define a Markov chain on finite sets of sentences with many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-12 Olivier Catoni , Thomas Mainguy

We study regression models for the situation where both dependent and independent variables are square-integrable stochastic processes. Questions concerning the definition and existence of the corresponding functional linear regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Guozhong He , Hans-Georg Müller , Jane-Ling Wang , Wenjing Yang

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

Random walks find applications in many areas of science and are the heart of essential network analytic tools. When defined on temporal networks, even basic random walk models may exhibit a rich spectrum of behaviours, due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

The process of collecting and organizing sets of observations represents a common theme throughout the history of science. However, despite the ubiquity of scientists measuring, recording, and analyzing the dynamics of different processes,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-23 Ben D. Fulcher , Max A. Little , Nick S. Jones

This chapter covers methodological issues related to estimation, testing and computation for models involving structural changes. Our aim is to review developments as they relate to econometric applications based on linear models.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Compositional data have two unique characteristics compared to typical multivariate data: the observed values are nonnegative and their summand is exactly one. To reflect these characteristics, a specific regularized regression model with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Jong-June Jeon , Yongdai Kim , Sungho Won , Hosik Choi

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mohammad Fesanghary , Achintya Gopal

We consider Bayesian hierarchical models for survival analysis, where the survival times are modeled through an underlying diffusion process which determines the hazard rate. We show how these models can be efficiently treated by means of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Gareth O. Roberts , Laura M. Sangalli

Conditionally Markov (CM) sequences are powerful mathematical tools for modeling random phenomena. There are several classes of CM sequences one of which is the reciprocal sequence. Reciprocal sequences have been widely used in many areas…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Reza Rezaie , X. Rong Li

In 2002, in a seminal article, Christoph Bandt and Bernd Pompe proposed a new methodology for the analysis of complex time series, now known as Ordinal Analysis. The ordinal methodology is based on the computation of symbols (known as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-06-07 Inmaculada Leyva , Johann Martinez , Cristina Masoller , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Massimiliano Zanin

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe
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