English

Efficient Causal Discovery for Autoregressive Time Series

Machine Learning 2025-07-11 v1 Applications

Abstract

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing methods, making it more efficient and scalable to larger problems. We rigorously evaluate its performance on synthetic datasets, demonstrating that our algorithm not only outperforms current techniques, but also excels in scenarios with limited data availability. These results highlight its potential for practical applications in fields requiring efficient and accurate causal inference from nonlinear time series data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2507.07898,
  title  = {Efficient Causal Discovery for Autoregressive Time Series},
  author = {Mohammad Fesanghary and Achintya Gopal},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.07898},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

10 pages, 8 figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T03:55:04.831Z