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For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

In this paper, we present a large-deviation theory developed for functionals of canonical Gibbs processes, i.e., Gibbs processes with respect to the binomial point process. We study the regime of a fixed intensity in a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Christian Hirsch , Martina Petráková

Consider a large system of $N$ Brownian motions in $\R ^d$ fixed on a time interval $[0,\beta]$ with symmetrized initial and terminal conditions, under the influence of a trap potential. Such systems describe systems of bosons at positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Stefan Adams , Spyros Garouniatis

Three-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations provide a striking confirmation to a recent theoretical prediction: the Brownian non-Gaussian diffusion of critical self-avoiding walks. Although the mean square displacement of the polymer center…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-21 Boris Marcone , Sankaran Nampoothiri , Enzo Orlandini , Flavio Seno , Fulvio Baldovin

We investigate the tail asymptotic behavior of the sojourn time for a large class of centered Gaussian processes $X$, in both continuous- and discrete-time framework. All results obtained here are new for the discrete-time case. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Xiaofan Peng , Zbigniew Michna

The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

We consider a centered random walk with finite variance and investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the area under this walk remains positive up to a large time $n$. Assuming that the moment of order $2+\delta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process $(Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ does not exceed a constant barrier up to time $T$ (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-20 Christoph Baumgarten

Asymptotic behavior of the point process of high and medium values of a Gaussian stationary process with discrete time is considered. An approximation by a Poisson cluster point process is given for the point process.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Vladimir I. Piterbarg

We establish a general formula for the Laplace transform of the hitting times of a Gaussian process. Some consequences are derived, and particular cases like the fractional Brownian motion are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Laurent Decreusefond , David Nualart

Smoothness and asymptotic behaviors are studied for the densities of the law of the occupation time on the positive line for Bessel bridges and the normalized excursion of strictly stable processes. The key role is played by these…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-22 Kouji Yano , Yuko Yano

We generalize the notion of Gaussian bridges by conditioning Gaussian processes given that certain linear functionals of the sample paths vanish. We show the equivalence of the laws of the unconditioned and the conditioned process and by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Maik Gorgens

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We give a probabilistic representation of a one-dimensional diffusion equation where the solution is discontinuous at $0$ with a jump proportional to its flux. This kind of interface condition is usually seen as a semi-permeable barrier.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Antoine Lejay

We review probabilistic approaches to the Gross-Pitaevskii theory describing interacting dilute systems of particles. The main achievement are large deviations principles for the mean occupation measure of a large system of interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-19 Stefan Adams , Wolfgang König

The probability density is a fundamental quantity for characterizing diffusion processes. However, it is seldom known except in a few renowned cases, including Brownian motion and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and their bridges, geometric…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Alain Mazzolo

The problem is a log-asymptotics of the probability that the Integrated fractional Brownian motion of index 0<H<1 does not exceed a fixed level during long time. For the growing time interval (0,T) the hypothetical log-asymptotics is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 G. Molchan

This paper gives a brief introduction to some important fractional and multifractional Gaussian processes commonly used in modelling natural phenomena and man-made systems. The processes include fractional Brownian motion (both standard and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-07-01 S. C. Lim , C. H. Eab

We study discrete-time stochastic processes $(X_t)$ on $[0,\infty)$ with asymptotically zero mean drifts. Specifically, we consider the critical (Lamperti-type) situation in which the mean drift at $x$ is about $c/x$. Our focus is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade