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We define the Sampled Moran Genealogy Process, a continuous-time Markov process on the space of genealogies with the demography of the classical Moran process, sampled through time. To do so, we begin by defining the Moran Genealogy Process…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-21 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides

The Kingman coalescent is a fundamental process in population genetics modelling the ancestry of a sample of individuals backwards in time. In this paper, in a large-sample-size regime, we study asymptotic properties of the coalescent under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

We consider a population growth model given by a two-type continuous-state branching process with immigration and competition, introduced by Ma. We study the relative frequency of one of the types in the population when the total mass is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Imanol Nuñez , José Luis Pérez

We investigate Bayesian non-parametric inference of the $\Lambda$-measure of $\Lambda$-coalescent processes with recurrent mutation, parametrised by probability measures on the unit interval. We give verifiable criteria on the prior for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spanò

An infinite population of point entities dwelling in the habitat $X=\mathds{R}^d$ is studied. Its members arrive at and depart from $X$ at random. The departure rate has a term corresponding to a logistic-type interaction between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Yuri Kozitsky , Michael Röckner

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

We introduce a colored coalescent process which recovers random colored genealogical trees. Here a colored genealogical tree has its vertices colored black or white. Moving backward along the colored genealogical tree, the color of vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

Variation in a sample of molecular sequence data informs about the past evolutionary history of the sample's population. Traditionally, Bayesian modeling coupled with the standard coalescent, is used to infer the sample's bifurcating…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Julie Zhang , Julia A. Palacios

We study the loop clusters induced by Poissonian ensembles of Markov loops on a finite or countable graph (Markov loops can be viewed as excursions of Markov chains with a random starting point, up to re-rooting). Poissonian ensembles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Yves Le Jan , Sophie Lemaire

We reconsider the deterministic haploid mutation-selection equation with two types. This is an ordinary differential equation that describes the type distribution (forward in time) in a population of infinite size. This paper establishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

We show that evolutionary computation can be implemented as standard Markov-chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling. With some care, `genetic algorithms' can be constructed that are reversible Markov chains that satisfy detailed balance; it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-13 Chris Watkins , Yvonne Buttkewitz

When statistical analyses consider multiple data sources, Markov melding provides a method for combining the source-specific Bayesian models. Markov melding joins together submodels that have a common quantity. One challenge is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

We describe a new general connection between $\Lambda$-coalescents and genealogies of continuous-state branching processes. This connection is based on the construction of an explicit coupling using a particle representation inspired by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Julien Berestycki , Nathanaël Berestycki , Vlada Limic

The evolutionary process has been modelled in many ways using both stochastic and deterministic models. We develop an algebraic model of evolution in a population of asexually reproducing organisms in which we represent a stochastic walk in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-18 Daniel Nichol , Peter Jeavons , Robert Bonomo , Philip K. Maini , Jerome L. Paul , Robert A. Gatenby , Alexander R. A. Anderson , Jacob G. Scott

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

The generalized Fleming-Viot processes were defined in 1999 by Donnelly and Kurtz using a particle model and by Bertoin and Le Gall in 2003 using stochastic flows of bridges. In both methods, the key argument used to characterize these…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Clément Foucart

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

We consider a single genetic locus which carries two alleles, labelled P and Q. This locus experiences selection and mutation. It is linked to a second neutral locus with recombination rate r. If r=0, this reduces to the study of a single…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. H. Barton , A. M. Etheridge , A. K. Sturm
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