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Let M_n denote the number of sites in the largest cluster in critical site percolation on the triangular lattice inside a box side length n. We give lower and upper bounds on the probability that M_n / E(M_n) > x of the form exp(- C…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Demeter Kiss

In Bayesian statistics, the highest posterior density (HPD) interval is often used to describe properties of a posterior distribution. As a method for estimating confidence intervals (CIs), the HPD has two main desirable properties.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-15 A. X. Venu

The site percolation threshold for the random Voronoi network is determined numerically for the first time, with the result p_c = 0.71410 +/- 0.00002, using Monte-Carlo simulation on periodic systems of up to 40000 sites. The result is very…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-05 Adam M. Becker , Robert M. Ziff

We propose simple formulas of confidence intervals for the Wald statistic, likelihood ratio statistic, and score statistic for a network meta-analysis. In addition, we consider resolutions for concerns that network meta-analyses with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Masahiro Kojima

Reliable probabilistic primality tests are fundamental in public-key cryptography. In adversarial scenarios, a composite with a high probability of passing a specific primality test could be chosen. In such cases, we need worst-case error…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Semira Einsele , Kenneth Paterson

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

This article addresses calibration challenges in analytical chemistry by employing a random-effects calibration curve model and its generalizations to capture variability in analyte concentrations. The model is motivated by specific issues…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Soumya Sahu , Thomas Mathew , Robert Gibbons , Dulal K. Bhaumik

In this paper, we compute the next-nearest-neighboring site percolation (Connections exist not only between nearest-neighboring sites, but also between next-nearest-neighboring sites.) probabilities Pc on the two-dimensional Sierpinski…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 H. B. Nie , B. M. Yu , K. L. Yao

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sample sizes. These challenges are frequently encountered in…

Nonparametric two-stage procedures to construct fixed-width confidence intervals are studied to quantify uncertainty. It is shown that the validity of the random central limit theorem (RCLT) accompanied by a consistent and asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Yuan-Tsung Chang , Ansgar Steland

Estimating high quantiles plays an important role in the context of risk management. This involves extrapolation of an unknown distribution function. In this paper we propose three methods, namely, the normal approximation method, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Liang Peng , Yongcheng Qi

In phase transition phenomena, the estimation of the critical point is crucial for the calculation of the various critical exponents and the determination of the universality class they belong to. However, this is not an easy task, since a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 Nikolaos Bastas , Kosmas Kosmidis , Paraskevas Giazitzidis , Michael Maragakis

Classical confidence intervals after best subset selection are widely implemented in statistical software and are routinely used to guide practitioners in scientific fields to conclude significance. However, there are increasing concerns in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Huiming Lin , Meng Li

Confidence sets play a fundamental role in statistical inference. In this paper, we consider confidence intervals for high dimensional linear regression with random design. We first establish the convergence rates of the minimax expected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

Consider an independent site percolation model with parameter $p \in (0,1)$ on $\Z^d,\ d\geq 2$ where there are only nearest neighbor bonds and long range bonds of length $k$ parallel to each coordinate axis. We show that the percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Bernardo N. B. de Lima , Rémy Sanchis , Roger W. C. Silva

A 1/L-expansion for percolation problems is proposed, where L is the lattice finite length. The square lattice with 27 different sizes L = 18, 22 ... 1594 is considered. Certain spanning probabilities were determined by Monte Carlo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. M. C. de Oliveira , R. A. Nobrega , D. Stauffer

Interval estimation of quantiles has been treated by many in the literature. However, to the best of our knowledge there has been no consideration for interval estimation when the data are available in grouped format. Motivated by this, we…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-08 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast

What, if anything, should a frequentist say about a single realized confidence interval (CI) and its chance of having covered the parameter? Jerzy Neyman's original answer was to refuse any nondegenerate probability for coverage ex post…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-06 Scott Lee

The site percolation problem is studied on d-dimensional generalisations of the Kagome' lattice. These lattices are isotropic and have the same coordination number q as the hyper-cubic lattices in d dimensions, namely q=2d. The site…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Steven C. van der Marck