English

Confidence regions for high quantiles of a heavy tailed distribution

Statistics Theory 2007-06-13 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Estimating high quantiles plays an important role in the context of risk management. This involves extrapolation of an unknown distribution function. In this paper we propose three methods, namely, the normal approximation method, the likelihood ratio method and the data tilting method, to construct confidence regions for high quantiles of a heavy tailed distribution. A simulation study prefers the data tilting method.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.math/0611278,
  title  = {Confidence regions for high quantiles of a heavy tailed distribution},
  author = {Liang Peng and Yongcheng Qi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:math/0611278},
  year   = {2007}
}

Comments

Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053606000000416 in the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)