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We establish a rather sharp two-side estimate for the tail probability of the derivative martingale limit in a branching random walk throughout the entire subcritical regime, confirming a conjecture by Lacoin, Rhodes, and Vargas (\emph{Duke…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Xinxin Chen , Yichao Huang , Heng Ma

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

We use the concept of excursions for the prediction of random variables without any moment existence assumptions. To do so, an excursion metric on the space of random variables is defined which appears to be a kind of a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev

We find exact small deviation asymptotics with respect to weighted Hilbert norm for some well-known Gaussian processes. Our approach does not require the knowledge of eigenfunctions of the covariance operator of a weighted process. Such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-15 Ya. yu. Nikitin , R. S. Pusev

Consider a family of random ordered graph trees $(T_n)_{n\geq 1}$, where $T_n$ has $n$ vertices. It has previously been established that if the associated search-depth processes converge to the normalised Brownian excursion when rescaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon

In this paper we consider the one-dimensional, biased, randomly trapped random walk when the trapping times have infinite variance. We prove sufficient conditions for the suitably scaled walk to converge to a transformation of a stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Adam Bowditch

Concentration inequalities are obtained on Poisson space, for random functionals with finite or infinite variance. In particular, dimension free tail estimates and exponential integrability results are given for the Euclidean norm of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 J. C. Breton , C. Houdré , N. Privault

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

Additive tree functionals allow to represent the cost of many divide-and-conquer algorithms. We give an invariance principle for such tree functionals for the Catalan model (random tree uniformly distributed among the full binary ordered…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Jean-François Delmas , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Marion Sciauveau

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent normal random variables with $X_i\sim N(\mu_i,\sigma_i^2)$, and set $Z=\prod_{i=1}^n X_i$. We derive asymptotic approximations for the right tail probability $\mathbb{P}(Z>x)$ as $x\to\infty$. When at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

We consider a multivariate distributional recursion of sum-type as arising in the probabilistic analysis of algorithms and random trees. We prove an upper tail bound for the solution using Chernoff's bounding technique by estimating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Goetz Olaf Munsonius

The rotor walk on a graph is a deterministic analogue of random walk. Each vertex is equipped with a rotor, which routes the walker to the neighbouring vertices in a fixed cyclic order on successive visits. We consider rotor walk on an…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-09-27 Omer Angel , Alexander E. Holroyd

We show that an algorithmic construction of sequences of recursive trees leads to a direct proof of the convergence of random recursive trees in an associated Doob-Martin compactification; it also gives a representation of the limit in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Rudolf Grübel , Igor Michailow

This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We consider Galton-Watson trees associated with a critical offspring distribution and conditioned to have exactly $n$ vertices. These trees are embedded in the real line by affecting spatial positions to the vertices, in such a way that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Francois Le Gall

A weighted recursive tree is an evolving tree in which vertices are assigned random vertex-weights and new vertices connect to a predecessor with a probability proportional to its weight. Here, we study the maximum degree and near-maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Laura Eslava , Bas Lodewijks , Marcel Ortgiese

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

We consider the number of nodes in the levels of unlabelled rooted random trees and show that the stochastic process given by the properly scaled level sizes weakly converges to the local time of a standard Brownian excursion. Furthermore…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-03-08 Michael Drmota , Bernhard Gittenberger

We study the extremes of branching random walks under the assumption that the underlying Galton-Watson tree has infinite progeny mean. It is assumed that the displacements are either regularly varying or they have lighter tails. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Souvik Ray , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Parthanil Roy , Philippe Soulier