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Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

Big data is ubiquitous in practices, and it has also led to heavy computation burden. To reduce the calculation cost and ensure the effectiveness of parameter estimators, an optimal subset sampling method is proposed to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-16 Haohui Han , Liya Fu

Distributed systems have been widely used in practice to accomplish data analysis tasks of huge scales. In this work, we target on the estimation problem of generalized linear models on a distributed system with nonrandomly distributed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Feifei Wang , Danyang Huang , Yingqiu Zhu , Hansheng Wang

Heterogeneous panel data models that allow the coefficients to vary across individuals and/or change over time have received increasingly more attention in statistics and econometrics. This paper proposes a two-dimensional heterogeneous…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-22 Wei Wang , Xiaodong Yan , Yanyan Ren , Zhijie Xiao

Multi-level modeling is an important approach for analyzing complex survey data using multi-stage sampling. However, estimation of multi-level models can be challenging when we combine several datasets with distinct hierarchies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Seho Park , A James OMalley

Multidimensional efficiency maps are commonly used in high energy physics experiments to mitigate the limitations in the generation of large samples of simulated events. Binned multidimensional efficiency maps are however strongly limited…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2020-05-19 C. Badiali , F. A. Di Bello , G. Frattari , E. Gross , V. Ippolito , M. Kado , J. Shlomi

When mapping subnational health and demographic indicators, direct weighted estimators of small area means based on household survey data can be unreliable when data are limited. If survey microdata are available, unit level models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

One way to investigate the precision of estimates likely to result from planned experiments and planned epidemiological studies is to simulate a large number of possible outcomes and analyse the sets of possible results. This appears to be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-28 G. K. Robinson , L. M. Ryan

This paper considers fixed effects estimation and inference in linear and nonlinear panel data models with random coefficients and endogenous regressors. The quantities of interest -- means, variances, and other moments of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Joonhwah Lee

Spiking neural networks, also often referred to as the third generation of neural networks, carry the potential for a massive reduction in memory and energy consumption over traditional, second-generation neural networks. Inspired by the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Alexander Henkes , Jason K. Eshraghian , Henning Wessels

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

A model-assisted semiparametric method of estimating finite population totals is investigated to improve the precision of survey estimators by incorporating multivariate auxiliary information. The proposed superpopulation model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Lily Wang

This study considers various semiparametric difference-in-differences models under different assumptions on the relation between the treatment group identifier, time and covariates for cross-sectional and panel data. The variance lower…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-17 Michael Zimmert

We consider a static linear panel model with both correlated and uncorrelated random coefficients, where the former can depend arbitrarily on observable regressors while the latter are independent of them. We provide sufficient conditions…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Irene Botosaru , James L. Powell

Complex interactions between entities are often represented as edges in a network. In practice, the network is often constructed from noisy measurements and inevitably contains some errors. In this paper we consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Can M. Le , Keith Levin , Elizaveta Levina

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated by applications in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

In training neural networks, it is common practice to use partial gradients computed over batches, mostly very small subsets of the training set. This approach is motivated by the argument that such a partial gradient is close to the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Jan Spörer , Bernhard Bermeitinger , Tomas Hrycej , Niklas Limacher , Siegfried Handschuh

The semivarying coefficient models are widely used in the application of finance, economics, medical science and many other areas. The functional coefficients are commonly estimated by local smoothing methods, e.g. local linear estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Heng Peng , Chuanlong Xie , Jingxin Zhao

The purpose of this article is to introduce a new analytical framework dedicated to measuring performance of recommender systems. The standard approach is to assess the quality of a system by means of accuracy related statistics. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-10-29 Szymon Chojnacki , Mieczysław Kłopotek
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