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We consider panel data models where coefficients change smoothly over time and follow a latent group structure, being homogeneous within but heterogeneous across groups. To jointly estimate the group membership and group-specific…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Paul Haimerl , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

Even when neural networks are widely used in a large number of applications, they are still considered as black boxes and present some difficulties for dimensioning or evaluating their prediction error. This has led to an increasing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Pablo Morala , Jenny Alexandra Cifuentes , Rosa E. Lillo , Iñaki Ucar

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

The frequentist interpretation of measurement results requires the specification of an ensemble of independent replications of the same experiment. For complex calculations of bias, coverage, significance, etc., this ensemble is often…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-18 Luc Demortier

Important objectives in cancer research are the prediction of a patient's risk based on molecular measurements such as gene expression data and the identification of new prognostic biomarkers (e.g. genes). In clinical practice, this is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-17 Katrin Madjar , Manuela Zucknick , Katja Ickstadt , Jörg Rahnenführer

Statistical and structural modeling represent two distinct approaches to data analysis. In this paper, we propose a set of novel methods for combining statistical and structural models for improved prediction and causal inference. Our first…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-11 Jiaming Mao , Jingzhi Xu

Fully robust versions of the elastic net estimator are introduced for linear and logistic regression. The algorithms to compute the estimators are based on the idea of repeatedly applying the non-robust classical estimators to data subsets…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Fatma Sevinc Kurnaz , Irene Hoffmann , Peter Filzmoser

Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Chris Kolb , Nadja Klein

Models that can simulate how environments change in response to actions can be used by agents to plan and act efficiently. We improve on previous environment simulators from high-dimensional pixel observations by introducing recurrent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-20 Silvia Chiappa , Sébastien Racaniere , Daan Wierstra , Shakir Mohamed

This paper proposes a new semi-parametric identification and estimation approach to multinomial choice models in a panel data setting with individual fixed effects. Our approach is based on cyclic monotonicity, which is a defining feature…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum , Wei Song

The big data trend has inspired feature-driven learning tasks, which cannot be handled by conventional machine learning models. Unstructured data produces very large binary matrices with millions of columns when converted to vector form.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Anton Akusok , Emil Eirola

This paper presents an implementation of multilayer feed forward neural networks (NN) to optimize CMOS analog circuits. For modeling and design recently neural network computational modules have got acceptance as an unorthodox and useful…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-12-13 Mriganka Chakraborty

A locally-optimal structure is a combinatorial structure such as a maximal independent set that cannot be improved by certain (greedy) local moves, even though it may not be globally optimal. It is trivial to construct an independent set in…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Leslie Ann Goldberg , Rob Gysel , John Lapinskas

Extreme value applications commonly employ regression techniques to capture cross-sectional heterogeneity or time-variation in the data. Estimation of the parameters of an extreme value regression model is notoriously challenging due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Debbie J. Dupuis , Sebastian Engelke , Luca Trapin

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

An integral part of many algorithms for S-estimators of linear regression is random subsampling. For problems with only continuous predictors simple random subsampling is a reliable method to generate initial coefficient estimates that can…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-29 Manuel Koller

Ensemble learning has proven effective in improving predictive performance and estimating uncertainty in neural networks. However, conventional ensemble methods often suffer from redundant parameter usage and computational inefficiencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Arnav Kharbanda , Advait Chandorkar

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

Consider a panel data setting where repeated observations on individuals are available. Often it is reasonable to assume that there exist groups of individuals that share similar effects of observed characteristics, but the grouping is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Lu Yu , Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev