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Related papers: A contact process with mutations on a tree

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We consider a spatial stochastic model for a pathogen population growing inside a host that attempts to eliminate the pathogens through its immune system. The pathogen population is divided into different types. A pathogen can either…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Fábio Lopes , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

The contact process on an infinite homogeneous tree is shown to exhibit at least two phase transitions as the infection parameter lambda is varied. For small values of lambda a single infection eventually dies out. For larger lambda the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Consider a birth and death chain to model the number of types of a given virus. Each type gives birth to a new type at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate 1. Each type is also assigned a fitness. When a death occurs either the least fit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 J. T. Cox , R. B. Schinazi

We propose the following simple stochastic model for phylogenetic trees. New types are born and die according to a birth and death chain. At each birth we associate a fitness to the new type sampled from a fixed distribution. At each death…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 T. M. Liggett , R. B. Schinazi

In the multitype contact process, vertices of a graph can be empty or occupied by a type 1 or a type 2 individual; an individual of type $i$ dies with rate 1 and sends a descendant to a neighboring empty site with rate $\lambda_i$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Thomas Mountford , Pedro Luis Barrios Pantoja , Daniel Valesin

We study some simple mathematical models designed to test the following hypothesis: can a pathogen escape the immune system only because of its high probability of mutation? We propose both spatial and non-spatial models. In all of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rinaldo Schinazi , Jason Schweinsberg

The stacked contact process is a stochastic model for the spread of an infection within a population of hosts located on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice. Regardless of whether they are healthy or infected, hosts give birth and die at…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Nicolas Lanchier , Yuan Zhang

We study how the interplay between the memory immune response and pathogen mutation affects epidemic dynamics in two related models. The first explicitly models pathogen mutation and individual memory immune responses, with contacted…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Michelle Girvan , Duncan S. Callaway , M. E. J. Newman , Steven H. Strogatz

We propose the following model for speciation and extinction. Birth and deaths occur according to spatially inhomogeneous contact rates. We assume that the ratio of the birth rate over the death rate at a site converges to some limit as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We study the ergodic theory of a multitype contact process with equal death rates and unequal birth rates on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice and regular trees. We prove that for birth rates in a certain interval there is coexistence on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 J. Theodore Cox , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We introduce and study the mutating contact process, a variant of the multitype contact process, where one type mutates at a constant rate to the other type. We prove that on $\mathbb{Z}$ a single mutant cannot survive while on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Idan Alter , Gideon Amir

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

We show existence of a non-trivial phase transition for the contact process, a simple model for infection without immunity, on a network which reacts dynamically to the infection trying to prevent an epidemic. This network initially has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 John Fernley , Peter Mörters , Marcel Ortgiese

This paper considers a natural variant of the $d$-dimensional multitype contact process in which individuals can be fertile or sterile. Fertile individuals of type $i$ give birth to an offspring of their own type at rate $\lambda_i$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

The existence of a weak survival region is established for the anisotropic symmetric contact process on a homogeneous tree T_{2d} of degree 2d > 2: For parameter values in a certain connected region of positive Lebesgue measure, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irene Hueter

The stacked contact process is a three-state spin system that describes the co-evolution of a population of hosts together with their symbionts. In a nutshell, the hosts evolve according to a contact process while the symbionts evolve…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Eric Foxall , Nicolas Lanchier

We study one specific version of the contact process on a graph. Here, we allow multiple infections carried by the nodes and include a probability of removing nodes in a graph. The removal probability is purely determined by the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Xu Huang

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi
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