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Given a set-valued stochastic process $(V_t)_{t=0}^T$, we say that the martingale selection problem is solvable if there exists an adapted sequence of selectors $\xi_t\in V_t$, admitting an equivalent martingale measure. The aim of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

In this tutorial we consider the non-linear Bayesian filtering of static parameters in a time-dependent model. We outline the theoretical background and discuss appropriate solvers. We focus on particle-based filters and present Sequential…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 Matthieu Bulté , Jonas Latz , Elisabeth Ullmann

High-frequency data observed on the prices of financial assets are commonly modeled by diffusion processes with micro-structure noise, and realized volatility-based methods are often used to estimate integrated volatility. For problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Yazhen Wang , Jian Zou

We consider an infinite horizon optimal control problem for a pure jump Markov process $X$, taking values in a complete and separable metric space $I$, with noise-free partial observation. The observation process is defined as $Y_t =…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Alessandro Calvia

We consider an SPDE description of a large portfolio limit model where the underlying asset prices evolve according to certain stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower barrier. The asset prices and their volatilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

In this paper, We propose a new style panel data factor stochastic volatility model with observable factors and unobservable factors based on the multivariate stochastic volatility model, which is mainly composed of three parts, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-09 Guobin Fang , Huimin Ma , Michelle Xia , Bo Zhang

We develop a stochastic volatility framework for modeling multiple currencies based on CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes. The proposed framework captures the typical risk characteristics of FX markets and is coherent with the symmetries of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-11 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

We consider an optimal stochastic impulse control problem over an infinite time horizon motivated by a model of irreversible investment choices with fixed adjustment costs. By employing techniques of viscosity solutions and relying on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Salvatore Federico , Mauro Rosestolato , Elisa Tacconi

We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval {\Delta} and describe the dependences of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Victor Olkhov

Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis is a formal approach to coherently synthesizing multiple predictive distributions into a single distribution. In sequential analysis, the computation of the synthesized predictive distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Riku Masuda , Kaoru Irie

We deal with the calculation of price sensitivities for stochastic volatility models. General forms for the dynamics of the underlying asset price and its volatility are considered. We make use of the chaotic (or Malliavin) calculus to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Youssef El-Khatib , Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix $\underline{\underline{E}}$ onto a non-random vector. The scaling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Przemysław Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

We develop a framework for stochastic portfolio theory (SPT), which incorporates modern nonlinear price impact and impact decay models. Our main result is the derivation of the celebrated master formula for additive functional generation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-15 David Itkin

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

We present a nonlinear stochastic differential equation (SDE) which mimics the probability density function (PDF) of the return and the power spectrum of the absolute return in financial markets. Absolute return as a measure of market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-05 V. Gontis , J. Ruseckas , A. Kononovicius

We present a multivariate stochastic volatility model with leverage, which is flexible enough to recapture the individual dynamics as well as the interdependencies between several assets while still being highly analytically tractable.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-23 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Oliver Pfaffel , Robert Stelzer

In recent literature it is claimed that BitCoin price behaves more likely to a volatile stock asset than a currency and that changes in its price are influenced by sentiment about the BitCoin system itself; in Kristoufek [10] the author…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 Alessandra Cretarola , Gianna Figà-Talamanca , Marco Patacca