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Foundation models trained as autoregressive PDE surrogates hold significant promise for accelerating scientific discovery through their capacity to both extrapolate beyond training regimes and efficiently adapt to downstream tasks despite a…

We propose a conditional non-autoregressive neural sequence model based on iterative refinement. The proposed model is designed based on the principles of latent variable models and denoising autoencoders, and is generally applicable to any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Jason Lee , Elman Mansimov , Kyunghyun Cho

A class of multivariate periodic autoregressive models is proposed where coupling between time series is achieved through linear mean functions. Various response distributions with quadratic mean-variance relationships fit into the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Johannes Bracher , Leonhard Held

Autoregressive language models have demonstrated a remarkable ability to extract latent structure from text. The embeddings from large language models have been shown to capture aspects of the syntax and semantics of language. But what…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Liyi Zhang , Michael Y. Li , R. Thomas McCoy , Theodore R. Sumers , Jian-Qiao Zhu , Thomas L. Griffiths

We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James L. Cantor , David F. Findley

Recent work by Marino et al. (2020) showed improved performance in sequential density estimation by combining masked autoregressive flows with hierarchical latent variable models. We draw a connection between such autoregressive generative…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Ruihan Yang , Yibo Yang , Joseph Marino , Stephan Mandt

We explore the use of class-conditional autoregressive (CA) models to perform image classification on MNIST-10. Autoregressive models assign probability to an entire input by combining probabilities from each individual feature; hence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Nathan Elazar

Due to the skessed distribution, high peak and thick tail and asymmetry of financial return data, it is difficult to describe the traditional distribution. In recent years, generalized autoregressive score (GAS) has been used in many fields…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-14 Hong Shaopeng

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes

Estimators computed from adaptively collected data do not behave like their non-adaptive brethren. Rather, the sequential dependence of the collection policy can lead to severe distributional biases that persist even in the infinite data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-06 Yash Deshpande , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Matt Taddy

\begin{abstract} We apply the theory of generalized Watson transforms developed in \cite{zheng00} to construct the complementary series of $GL(2,\R)$. \end{abstract}

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Qifu Zheng

Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-20 John Mern , Peter Morales , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In this paper, we introduce a Kantorovich type generalization of Jakimovski-Leviatan operators constructed by A. Jakimovski and D. Leviatan (1969) and the theorems on convergence and the degrree of convergence are established. Furthermore,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Didem Aydin Ari , Sevilay Kirci Serenbay

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Autoregressive models are widely used for tasks such as image and audio generation. The sampling process of these models, however, does not allow interruptions and cannot adapt to real-time computational resources. This challenge impedes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Yilun Xu , Yang Song , Sahaj Garg , Linyuan Gong , Rui Shu , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

We propose the general way of study the universal estimator for the regression problem in learning theory considered in "Universal algorithms for learning theory Part I: piecewise constant functions" and "Universal algorithms for learning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Karol Dziedziul , Barbara Wolnik

Autoregressive neural network models have been used successfully for sequence generation, feature extraction, and hypothesis scoring. This paper presents yet another use for these models: allocating more computation to more difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Loren Lugosch , Derek Nowrouzezahrai , Brett H. Meyer

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

I review the classical theory of likelihood based inference and consider how it is being extended and developed for use in complex models and sampling schemes.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Nancy Reid

The autoregressive Hilbertian model (ARH) was introduced in the early 90's by Denis Bosq. It was the subject of a vast literature and gave birth to numerous extensions. The model generalizes the classical multidimensional autoregressive…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-26 Cl\'{e]ment Carré , André Mas
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