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Numerous applications of machine learning involve representing probability distributions over high-dimensional data. We propose autoregressive quantile flows, a flexible class of normalizing flow models trained using a novel objective based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Phillip Si , Allan Bishop , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Zhe Wang , Jiaxin Shi , Nicolas Heess , Arthur Gretton , Michalis K. Titsias

We study the probabilistic modeling performed by Autoregressive Large Language Models (LLMs) through the angle of time directionality, addressing a question first raised in (Shannon, 1951). For large enough models, we empirically find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Vassilis Papadopoulos , Jérémie Wenger , Clément Hongler

Autoregressive state transitions, where predictions are conditioned on past predictions, are the predominant choice for both deterministic and stochastic sequential models. However, autoregressive feedback exposes the evolution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Florian Schmidt , Stephan Mandt , Thomas Hofmann

Autoregressive Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved impressive performance in language tasks but face two significant bottlenecks: (1) quadratic complexity in the attention module as the number of tokens increases, and (2) limited…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Haoran You , Yichao Fu , Zheng Wang , Amir Yazdanbakhsh , Yingyan Celine Lin

Standard autoregressive language models perform only polynomial-time computation to compute the probability of the next symbol. While this is attractive, it means they cannot model distributions whose next-symbol probability is hard to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Chu-Cheng Lin , Aaron Jaech , Xin Li , Matthew R. Gormley , Jason Eisner

This is a survey on extended affine Lie algebras and related types of Lie algebras, which generalize affine Lie algebras.

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2008-05-23 Erhard Neher

Autoregressive models are a class of time series models that are important in both applied and theoretical statistics. Typically, inferential devices such as confidence sets and hypothesis tests for time series models require nuanced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Hien Duy Nguyen

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

Progression, the task of updating a knowledge base to reflect action effects, generally requires second-order logic. Identifying first-order special cases, by restricting either the knowledge base or action effects, has long been a central…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jens Classen , Daxin Liu

A new integer--valued autoregressive process (INAR) with Generalised Lagrangian Katz (GLK) innovations is defined. This process family provides a flexible modelling framework for count data, allowing for under and over--dispersion,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Ovielt Baltodano Lopez , Federico Bassetti , Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin

[Note to the reader: properties (C2) and (C2)* are under development, in order to form a generalization of (C3) and (C3)*]

General Topology · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Kyriakos Papadopoulos

Recent years have seen a paradigm shift in NLP towards using pretrained language models ({PLM}) for a wide range of tasks. However, there are many difficult design decisions to represent structures (e.g. tagged text, coreference chains) in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Tianyu Liu , Yuchen Jiang , Nicholas Monath , Ryan Cotterell , Mrinmaya Sachan

This note presents an extension to the adaptive control strategy presented in [1] able to counter eventual instability due to disturbances at the input of an otherwise $\mathcal{L}_2$ stable closed-loop system. These disturbances are due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Mario di Bernardo , Umberto Montanaro , Romeo Ortega , Stefania Santini

We discuss an elementary derivation of variational symmetries and corresponding integrals of motion for the Lagrangian systems depending on acceleration. Providing several examples, we make the manuscript accessible to a wide range of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-07-18 Ege Coban , Ilmar Gahramanov , Dilara Kosva

In this work we analyze systems described by Lagrangians with higher order derivatives in the context of the Hamilton-Jacobi formalism for first order actions. Two different approaches are studied here: the first one is analogous to the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-01-30 M. C. Bertin , B. M. Pimentel , P. J. Pompeia

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Hanna Gruber , Moritz Jirak

This work concerns estimation of linear autoregressive models with Markov-switching using expectation maximisation (E.M.) algorithm. Our method generalise the method introduced by Elliot for general hidden Markov models and avoid to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-22 Joseph Rynkiewicz

The conditional autoregressive model is a routinely used statistical model for areal data that arise from, for instances, epidemiological, socio-economic or ecological studies. Various multivariate conditional autoregressive models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Ye Liang

Modern applications have made ubiquitous high-dimensional data, especially time-dependent data, with more and more complicated structures, and it also has become more frequent to encounter the scenario of hierarchical relationships among…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Lan Li , Shibo Yu , Yingzhou Wang , Guodong Li
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