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This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a useful technique to predict composition--property relationships in glasses as the method inherently provides the standard deviation of the predictions. However, the technique remains restricted to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-07 Suresh Bishnoi , R. Ravinder , Hargun Singh , Hariprasad Kodamana , N. M. Anoop Krishnan

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

Based on observations of points uniformly distributed over a convex set in $\R^d$, a new estimator for the volume of the convex set is proposed. The estimator is minimax optimal and also efficient non-asymptotically: it is nearly unbiased…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Nikolay Baldin , Markus Reiß

We present and analyze a finite volume scheme of arbitrary order for elliptic equations in the one-dimensional setting. In this scheme, the control volumes are constructed by using the Gauss points in subintervals of the underlying mesh. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Waixiang Cao , Zhimin Zhang , Qingsong Zou

In the context of Gaussian conditioning, greedy algorithms iteratively select the most informative measurements, given an observed Gaussian random variable. However, the convergence analysis for conditioning Gaussian random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We study the approximability of general convex sets in $\mathbb{R}^n$ by intersections of halfspaces, where the approximation quality is measured with respect to the standard Gaussian distribution $N(0,I_n)$ and the complexity of an…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Anindya De , Shivam Nadimpalli , Rocco A. Servedio

We present an efficient algorithm to compute tight upper bounds of collision probability between two objects with positional uncertainties, whose error distributions are represented with non-Gaussian forms. Our approach can handle noisy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jae Sung Park , Dinesh Manocha

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable…

Gaussian processes are used in many machine learning applications that rely on uncertainty quantification. Recently, computational tools for working with these models in geometric settings, such as when inputs lie on a Riemannian manifold,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Paul Rosa , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Judith Rousseau

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig

Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Wenjia Wang

An interesting statistical problem is to find regions where some studied process exceeds a certain level. Estimating such regions so that the probability for exceeding the level in the entire set is equal to some predefined value is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-19 David Bolin , Finn Lindgren

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

We prove several fundamental statistical bounds for entropic OT with the squared Euclidean cost between subgaussian probability measures in arbitrary dimension. First, through a new sample complexity result we establish the rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Gonzalo Mena , Jonathan Weed

We consider the problem of estimating the density $\Pi$ of a determinantal process $N$ from the observation of $n$ independent copies of it. We use an aggregation procedure based on robust testing to build our estimator. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Yannick Baraud

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

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