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Related papers: Estimation of the volume of an excursion set of a …

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When a random field $(X_t, \ t\in {\mathbb R}^2)$ is thresholded on a given level $u$, the excursion set is given by its indicator $~1_{[u, \infty)}(X_t)$. The purpose of this work is to study functionals (as established in stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-30 Marie Kratz , Werner Nagel

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

Safety-critical technical systems operating in unknown environments require the ability to quickly adapt their behavior, which can be achieved in control by inferring a model online from the data stream generated during operation. Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-24 Armin Lederer , Mingmin Zhang , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

The intrinsic volumes induced by a stationary Poisson k-flat process inside a compact and convex sampling window are considered. Using techniques from stochastic analysis, more precisely calculus with multiple stochastic integrals and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Let $X=\{X(x): x\in\mathbb{S}^N\}$ be a real-valued, centered Gaussian random field indexed on the $N$-dimensional unit sphere $\mathbb{S}^N$. Approximations to the excursion probability ${\mathbb{P}}\{\sup_{x\in\mathbb{S}^N}X(x)\ge u\}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao

In this paper, we consider the problem of Gaussian approximation for the online linear regression task. We derive the corresponding rates for the setting of a constant learning rate and study the explicit dependence of the convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Marat Khusainov , Marina Sheshukova , Alain Durmus , Sergey Samsonov

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

Devising optimal operating strategies for a compressor station relies on the knowledge of compressor characteristics. As the compressor characteristics change with time and use, it is necessary to provide accurate models of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Akhil Ahmed , Marta Zagorowska , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Mehmet Mercangöz

This paper is centered around the approximation of dynamical systems by means of Gaussian processes. To this end, trajectories of such systems must be collected to be used as training data. The measurements of these trajectories are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

To perform a queuing analysis or design in a communications context, we need to estimate the values of the input parameters, specifically the mean of the arrival rate and service time. In this paper, we propose an approach for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-26 Xinjia Chen

Asymptotic behavior of the point process of high and medium values of a Gaussian stationary process with discrete time is considered. An approximation by a Poisson cluster point process is given for the point process.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Vladimir I. Piterbarg

This paper considers the asymptotic behaviour of volumes of excursion sets of subordinated Gaussian random fields with (possibly) infinite variance. Actually, we consider integral functionals of such fields and obtain their limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev

We use the concept of excursions for the prediction of random variables without any moment existence assumptions. To do so, an excursion metric on the space of random variables is defined which appears to be a kind of a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev

Estimating the volume of a convex body is a canonical problem in theoretical computer science. Its study has led to major advances in randomized algorithms, Markov chain theory, and computational geometry. In particular, determining the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-05 Arjan Cornelissen , Simon Apers , Sander Gribling

We present results on the estimation and evaluation of success probabilities for ordinal optimisation over uncountable sets (such as subsets of $\mathbb{R}^{d}$). Our formulation invokes an assumption of a Gaussian copula model, and we show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Robert Chin , Jonathan E. Rowe , Iman Shames , Chris Manzie , Dragan Nešić

In this paper we study algorithms to find a Gaussian approximation to a target measure defined on a Hilbert space of functions; the target measure itself is defined via its density with respect to a reference Gaussian measure. We employ the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-11 Frank J. Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We analyze here in details the probability to find a given number of particles in a finite volume inside a normal or superfluid finite system. This probability, also known as counting statistics, is obtained using projection operator…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-22 Denis Lacroix , Sakir Ayik

In this paper,we consider a macro approximation of the flow of a risk reserve, The process is observed at discrete time points. Because we cannot directly observe each jump time and size then we will make use of a technique for identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Chunhao Cai , Junyi Guo , Honglong You

We consider the problem of estimating the set of all inputs that leads a system to some particular behavior. The system is modeled by an expensive-to-evaluate function, such as a computer experiment, and we are interested in its excursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-10 Dario Azzimonti , David Ginsbourger , Clément Chevalier , Julien Bect , Yann Richet

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi