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We argue that statistical data analysis of two-particle longitudinal correlations in ultra-relativistic heavy-ion collisions may be efficiently carried out with the technique of partial covariance. In this method, the spurious…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-10-04 Adam Olszewski , Wojciech Broniowski

One-dimensional non-equilibrium models of particles subjected to a coagulation-diffusion process are important in understanding non-equilibrium dynamics, and fluctuation-dissipation relation. We consider in this paper transport properties…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Jean-Yves Fortin

Given an iid sequence of pairs of stochastic processes on the unit interval we construct a measure of independence for the components of the pairs. We define distance covariance and distance correlation based on approximations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Herold Dehling , Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Laleh Tafakori

Epidemiologic studies often evaluate the association between an exposure and an event risk. When time-varying, exposure updates usually occur at discrete visits although changes are in continuous time and survival models require values to…

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Markus Bibinger , Markus Reiß

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

We consider pure-jump transaction-level models for asset prices in continuous time, driven by point processes. In a bivariate model that admits cointegration, we allow for time deformations to account for such effects as intraday seasonal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

In these lecture notes, we explore the mathematical preliminaries and foundational concepts that connect stochastic processes with partial differential equations. We begin by investigating Brownian motion, which serves as a model for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Helder Rojas

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

This work presents a detailed covariance and correlation matrix analysis for experimentally measured cross sections obtained using the activation technique. Both statistical and systematic contributions to the covariance matrix were…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-04-01 Tanmoy Bar

We show that the method of partial covariance is a very efficient way to introduce constraints (such as the centrality selection) in data analysis in ultra-relativistic nuclear collisions. The technique eliminates spurious event-by-event…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-10-18 Wojciech Broniowski , Adam Olszewski

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade

This paper introduces a novel statistical framework for independent component analysis (ICA) of multivariate data. We propose methodology for estimating and testing the existence of mutually independent components for a given dataset, and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 David S. Matteson , Ruey S. Tsay

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t), with drift function b, diffusion coefficient sigma and jump coefficient xi^{2}. This process is observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Emeline Schmisser

Inference over tails is performed by applying only the results of extreme value theory. Whilst such theory is well defined and flexible enough in the univariate case, multivariate inferential methods often require the imposition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-11 Manuele Leonelli , Dani Gamerman

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Convergence of stochastic processes with jumps to diffusion processes is investigated in the case when the limit process has discontinuous coefficients. An example is given in which the diffusion approximation of a queueing model yields a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 N. V. Krylov , R. Liptser