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The modelling of multivariate extreme events is important in a wide variety of applications, including flood risk analysis, metocean engineering and financial modelling. A wide variety of statistical techniques have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Callum John Rowlandson Murphy-Barltrop , Ed Mackay , Philip Jonathan

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We consider estimation of mean and covariance functions of functional snippets, which are short segments of functions possibly observed irregularly on an individual specific subinterval that is much shorter than the entire study interval.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-08 Zhenhua Lin , Jane-Ling Wang

Many statistical applications require the quantification of joint dependence among more than two random vectors. In this work, we generalize the notion of distance covariance to quantify joint dependence among d >= 2 random vectors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-18 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

Fractional dissipation is a powerful tool to study non-local physical phenomena such as damping models. The design of geometric, in particular, variational integrators for the numerical simulation of such systems relies on a variational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Khaled Hariz , Fernando Jiménez , Sina Ober-Blöbaum

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are used in physics to model anomalous diffusion, by incorporating a random waiting time between particle jumps. In finance, the particle jumps are log-returns and the waiting times measure delay between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Mark M. Meerschaert , Enrico Scalas

In this paper, we consider a stochastic model based on the Cox- Ingersoll- Ross model (CIR). The stochastic model is parameterized analytically by applying It\^o's calculus and the trend functions of the proposed process is calculated. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Nafidi Ahmed , El Azri Abdenbi

This paper presents a Hayashi-Yoshida type estimator for the covariation matrix of continuous It\^o semimartingales observed with noise. The coordinates of the multivariate process are assumed to be observed at highly frequent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

This paper discusses semiparametric inference on hypotheses on the cointegration and the attractor spaces for $I(1)$ linear processes with moderately large cross-sectional dimension. The approach is based on empirical canonical correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Massimo Franchi , Paolo Paruolo

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

The L\'evy, jumping process, defined in terms of the jumping size distribution and the waiting time distribution, is considered. The jumping rate depends on the process value. The fractional diffusion equation, which contains the variable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-10 Tomasz Srokowski

The Peaks-Over Threshold is a fundamental method in the estimation of rare events such as small exceedance probabilities, extreme quantiles and return periods. The main problem with the Peaks-Over Threshold method relates to the selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet

Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

Since its introduction, some sixty years ago, the Montroll-Weiss continuous time random walk has found numerous applications due its ease of use and ability to describe both regular and anomalous diffusion. Yet, despite its broad…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Maxence Arutkin , Shlomi Reuveni

In this paper, our focus lies on the Merton's jump diffusion model, employing jump processes characterized by the compound Poisson process. Our primary objective is to forecast the drift and volatility of the model using a variety of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Ayush Singh , Anshu K. Jha , Amit N. Kumar

We consider a univariate semimartingale model for (the logarithm of) an asset price, containing jumps having possibly infinite activity (IA). The nonparametric threshold estimator of the integrated variance IV proposed in Mancini 2009 is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-16 José E. Figueroa-López , Cecilia Mancini

In semivarying coefficient models for longitudinal/clustered data, usually of primary interest is usually the parametric component which involves unknown constant coefficients. First, we study semiparametric efficiency bound for estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jialiang Li

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich