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We investigate the two-points correlation function for several boundary-driven interacting particle systems. Our goal is to show that the time evolution of that correlation function is solution to a partial differential equation that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 P. Gonçalves , B. Salvador

Statistical inference for discretely observed jump-diffusion processes is a complex problem which motivates new methodological challenges. Thus existing approaches invariably resort to time-discretisations which inevitably lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Krzysztof G. Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

Given an It\=o semimartingale with a time-homogeneous jump part observed at high frequency, we prove weak convergence of a normalized truncated empirical distribution function of the L\'evy measure to a Gaussian process. In contrast to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter

Correlation and spectral analysis represent the standard tools to study interdependence in statistical data. However, for the stochastic processes with heavy-tailed distributions such that the variance diverges, these tools are inadequate.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Aleksei Chechkin , Janusz Gajda , Igor M. Sokolov

This paper proposes a new integrated variance estimator based on order statistics within the framework of jump-diffusion models. Its ability to disentangle the integrated variance from the total process quadratic variation is confirmed by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-23 Luca Spadafora , Francesca Sivero , Nicola Picchiotti

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Due to the mechanism of recording, the presence of multiple transactions at each recording time becomes a common feature for high-frequency data in financial market. Using random matrix theory, this paper considers the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Moming Wang , Ningning Xia , You Zhou

Subordinate diffusions are constructed by time changing diffusion processes with an independent L\'{e}vy subordinator. This is a rich family of Markovian jump processes which exhibit a variety of jump behavior and have found many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Weiwei Guo , Lingfei Li

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

We propose two nonparametric tests for investigating the pathwise properties of a signal modeled as the sum of a L\'{e}vy process and a Brownian semimartingale. Using a nonparametric threshold estimator for the continuous component of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Rama Cont , Cecilia Mancini

We propose a new concept of modulated bipower variation for diffusion models with microstructure noise. We show that this method provides simple estimates for such important quantities as integrated volatility or integrated quarticity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

We consider a 1-dimensional diffusion process X with jumps. The particularity of this model relies in the jumps which are driven by a multidimensional Hawkes process denoted N. This article is dedicated to the study of a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler

As a simplified model for subsurface flows elliptic equations may be utilized. Insufficient measurements or uncertainty in those are commonly modeled by a random coefficient, which then accounts for the uncertain permeability of a given…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Andrea Barth , Andreas Stein

We propose statistical tests to discriminate between the finite and infinite activity of jumps in a semimartingale discretely observed at high frequency. The two statistics allow for a symmetric treatment of the problem: we can either take…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We consider the estimation of integrated covariance (ICV) matrices of high dimensional diffusion processes based on high frequency observations. We start by studying the most commonly used estimator, the realized covariance (RCV) matrix. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Xinghua Zheng , Yingying Li

We propose a nonparametric estimator of the jump activity index $\beta$ of a pure-jump semimartingale $X$ driven by a $\beta$-stable process when the underlying observations are coming from a high-frequency setting at irregular times. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Adrian Theopold , Mathias Vetter

This paper develops a robust parametric framework for jump detection in discretely observed CKLS-type jump-diffusion processes with high-frequency asymptotics, based on the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). The methodology…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Sourojyoti Barick