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This brief paper proposes an uncertainty quantification method for the periodic steady-state (PSS) analysis with both Gaussian and non-Gaussian variations. Our stochastic testing formulation for the PSS problem provides superior efficiency…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Paolo Maffezzoni , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

This paper explores Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in SVM predictions, particularly for regression and forecasting tasks. Unlike the Neural Network, the SVM solutions are typically more stable, sparse, optimal and interpretable. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Pritam Anand

In complex physical process characterization, such as the measurement of the regression rate for solid hybrid rocket fuels, where both the observation data and the model used have uncertainties originating from multiple sources, combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Georgios Georgalis , Kolos Retfalvi , Paul E. DesJardin , Abani Patra

Performing uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) is vital when developing a patient-specific physiological model because it can quantify model output uncertainty and estimate the effect of each of the model's input…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-12 Kyle M. Burk , Akil Narayan , Joseph A. Orr

Equation-of-state (EOS) models underpin numerical simulations at the core of research in high energy density physics, inertial confinement fusion, laboratory astrophysics, and elsewhere. In these applications EOS models are needed that span…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-28 Jim A Gaffney , Lin Yang , Suzanne Ali

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed to autonomously solve real-world tasks. A key ingredient for this is the LLM Function-Calling paradigm, a widely used approach for equipping LLMs with tool-use capabilities. However, an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Zihuiwen Ye , Lukas Aichberger , Michael Kirchhof , Sinead Williamson , Luca Zappella , Yarin Gal , Arno Blaas , Adam Golinski

Quantification of uncertainty in production/injection forecasting is an important aspect of reservoir simulation studies. Conventional approaches include intrusive Galerkin-based methods (e.g., generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Larry Jin , Hannah Lu , Gege Wen

Quantum computing (QC) provides a promising avenue toward enabling quantum chemistry calculations, which are classically impossible due to a computational complexity that increases exponentially with system size. As fully fault-tolerant…

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (IUQ) method has been widely used to quantify the uncertainty of Physical Model Parameters (PMPs) in nuclear Thermal Hydraulics (TH) systems. This paper introduces a novel hierarchical Bayesian model which…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-27 Chen Wang , Xu Wu , Tomasz Kozlowski

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in real-world applications, reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) becomes critical for safe and effective use. Most existing UQ approaches for language models aim to produce a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Maiya Goloburda , Roman Vashurin , Fedor Chernogorsky , Nurkhan Laiyk , Daniil Orel , Preslav Nakov , Maxim Panov

Accurately quantifying a large language model's (LLM) predictive uncertainty is crucial for judging the reliability of its answers. While most existing research focuses on short, directly answerable questions with closed-form outputs (e.g.,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Yinghao Li , Rushi Qiang , Lama Moukheiber , Chao Zhang

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

A *-algebraic indefinite structure of quantum stochastic (QS) calculus is introduced and a continuity property of generalized nonadapted QS integrals is proved under the natural integrability conditions in an infinitely dimensional nuclear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. P. Belavkin

Hybrid quantum mechanical-molecular mechanical (QM/MM) simulations are widely used in enzyme simulation. Over ten convergence studies of QM/MM methods have revealed over the past several years that key energetic and structural properties…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-11 Maria Karelina , Heather J. Kulik

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful framework for solving PDEs, yet existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches for PINNs generally lack rigorous statistical guarantees. In this work, we bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Yifan Yu , Cheuk Hin Ho , Yangshuai Wang

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is widely regarded as the primary safeguard for deploying Large Language Models (LLMs) in high-stakes domains. However, we argue that the field suffers from a category error: mainstream UQ methods for LLMs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Tiejin Chen , Longchao Da , Xiaoou Liu , Hua Wei

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a vital step in using mathematical models and simulations to take decisions. The field of cardiac simulation has begun to explore and adopt UQ methods to characterise uncertainty in model inputs and how…

Quantum simulation of molecular electronic structure is one of the most promising applications of quantum computing. However, achieving chemically accurate predictions for strongly correlated systems requires quantum phase estimation (QPE)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Shota Kanasugi , Riki Toshio , Kazunori Maruyama , Hirotaka Oshima

Quantum computing offers the promise of speedups for scientific computations, but its application to reacting flows is hindered by nonlinear source terms, the challenges of time-dependent simulations, and the difficulty of extracting…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-17 Jizhi Zhang , Ziang Yang , Zhaoyuan Meng , Zhen Lu , Yue Yang
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