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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides asymptotically consistent estimates of intractable posterior expectations as the number of iterations tends to infinity. However, in large data applications, MCMC can be computationally expensive per…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-03 Niloy Biswas , Lester Mackey

The AMP Markov property is a recently proposed alternative Markov property for chain graphs. In the case of continuous variables with a joint multivariate Gaussian distribution, it is the AMP rather than the earlier introduced LWF Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Michael Eichler

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

We consider the computational task of sampling a bit string $x$ from a distribution $\pi(x)=|\langle x|\psi\rangle|^2$, where $\psi$ is the unique ground state of a local Hamiltonian $H$. Our main result describes a direct link between the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-09 Sergey Bravyi , Giuseppe Carleo , David Gosset , Yinchen Liu

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

We study the distribution of the maximum of a large class of Gaussian fields indexed by a box $V_N\subset Z^d$ and possessing logarithmic correlations up to local defects that are sufficiently rare. Under appropriate assumptions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Florian Schweiger , Ofer Zeitouni

Evaluating the degree of partisan districting (Gerrymandering) in a statistical framework typically requires an ensemble of districting plans which are drawn from a prescribed probability distribution that adheres to a realistic and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-19 Gregory Herschlag , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Matthias Sachs , Evan Wyse

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods generate samples that are asymptotically distributed from a target distribution of interest as the number of iterations goes to infinity. Various theoretical results provide upper bounds on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-30 Niloy Biswas , Pierre E. Jacob , Paul Vanetti

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

Sparse structure learning in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models is an important problem in multivariate statistical signal processing; since the sparsity pattern naturally encodes the conditional independence relationship among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ksheera Sagar , Jyotishka Datta , Sayantan Banerjee , Anindya Bhadra

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

There has been a recent surge of interest in coupling methods for Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms: they facilitate convergence quantification and unbiased estimation, while exploiting embarrassingly parallel computing capabilities.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-03 Tamás P. Papp , Chris Sherlock

Let S_{n,k} denote the random geometric graph obtained by placing points inside a square of area n according to a Poisson point process of intensity 1 and joining each such point to the k=k(n) points of the process nearest to it. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Victor Falgas-Ravry

In this paper we show how questions about operator algebras constructed from stochastic matrices motivate new results in the study of harmonic functions on Markov chains. More precisely, we characterize coincidence of conditional…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Xinxin Chen , Adam Dor-On , Langwen Hui , Christopher Linden , Yifan Zhang

Markov chains can be used to generate samples whose distribution approximates a given target distribution. The quality of the samples of such Markov chains can be measured by the discrepancy between the empirical distribution of the samples…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-18 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

In a first part, using the recent measure classification results of Eskin--Lindenstrauss, we give a criterion to ensure a.s. equidistribution of empirical measures of an i.i.d. random walk on a homogeneous space $G/\Gamma$. Employing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Roland Prohaska , Cagri Sert
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