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We prove that a sum of random matrices generated by a $\psi$-mixing Markov chain has similar spectral properties to a Gaussian matrix with the same mean and covariance structure. This nonasymptotic universality principle enables sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Alexander Van Werde , Jaron Sanders

We derive novel concentration inequalities for the operator norm of the sum of self-adjoint operators that do not explicitly depend on the underlying dimension of the operator, but rather an intrinsic notion of it. Our analysis leads to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

A stationary random sequence admits under some assumptions a representation as the sum of two others: one of them is a martingale difference sequence, and another is a so-called coboundary. Such a representation can be used for proving some…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Mikhail Gordin

This paper introduces a new approach of treating platoon systems using mean-variance control formulation. The underlying system is a controlled switching diffusion in which the random switching process is a continuous-time Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-22 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang , Hongwei Zhang

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

A concentration result for quadratic form of independent subgaussian random variables is derived. If the moments of the random variables satisfy a "Bernstein condition", then the variance term of the Hanson-Wright inequality can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Pierre C Bellec

In this paper we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables under martingale-type conditions. Applications to functions of $\phi$-mixing sequences, contracting Markov chains, expanding maps…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-27 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We give a concentration inequality for a stochastic version of the facility location problem. We show the objective $C_n = \min_{F \subseteq [0,1]^2}|F|+\sum_{x\in X}\min_{f\in F}\|x-f\|$ is concentrated in an interval of length…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Sandeep Silwal

We apply Lindeberg's method, invented to prove a central limit theorem, to analyze the moderate deviations around such a central limit theorem. In particular, we will show moderate deviation principles for martingales as well as for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe

We extend the theory of concentration inequalities to simple random tensors with heavy-tailed coefficients. Specifically, we consider the class of sub-Weibull distributions $\mathcal{S}_\alpha$ for $\alpha \in [1, 2]$. We establish…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-11 Yunfan Zhao

Developing satisfactory methodology for the analysis of Markov random field is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-12 Julien Stoehr

Poincar{\'e} inequalities are ubiquitous in probability and analysis and have various applications in statistics (concentration of measure, rate of convergence of Markov chains). The Poincar{\'e} constant, for which the inequality is tight,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-25 Loucas Pillaud-Vivien , Francis Bach , Tony Lelièvre , Alessandro Rudi , Gabriel Stoltz

We study martingale inequalities from an analytic point of view and show that a general martingale inequality can be reduced to a pair of deterministic inequalities in a small number of variables. More precisely, the optimal bound in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Mathias Beiglböck , Marcel Nutz

We obtain Rosenthal-type inequalities with sharp constants for moments of sums of independent random variables which are mixtures of a fixed distribution. We also identify extremisers in log-concave settings when the moments of summands are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Giorgos Chasapis , Alexandros Eskenazis , Tomasz Tkocz

We prove Bernstein-type matrix concentration inequalities for linear combinations with matrix coefficients of binary random variables satisfying certain $\ell_\infty$-independence assumptions, complementing recent results by Kaufman, Kyng…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Radosław Adamczak , Ioannis Kavvadias

We present a proof of the concentration inequality for a discrete random surface model, where the underlying potential is perturbed by an additive random potential. The proof is based on annealing the random potential, and follows the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Andrew Krieger

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

We derive diffusion constants and martingales for senile random walks with the help of a time-change. We provide direct computations of the diffusion constants for the time-changed walks. Alternatively, the values of these constants can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-19 Wouter Kager

We extend the approach of Walker (2003, 2004) to the case of misspecified models. A sufficient condition for establishing rates of convergence is given based on a key identity involving martingales, which does not require construction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Heng Lian

We present new concentration of measure inequalities for Markov chains, generalising results for chains that are contracting in Wasserstein distance. These are particularly suited to establishing the cut-off phenomenon for suitable chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak