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We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem for vector-valued martingale differences using Stein's method, and use Poisson's equation to extend the result to functions of Markov Chains. We then show that these results can be applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 R. Srikant

We establish a practical and easy-to-implement sequential stopping rule for the martingale central limit theorem, focusing on Monte Carlo methods for estimating the mean of a non-iid sequence of martingale difference type. Starting with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Jiezhong Wu , Reiichiro Kawai

We consider two examples for a well-known method for obtaining concentration of measure (COM) bounds for a given observable in a given measure. The method is to consider an auxiliary Markov chain for which the invariant distribution is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Michael Froehlich , Shannon Starr

Comparison results for Markov processes w.r.t. function class induced (integral) stochastic orders have a long history. The most general results so far for this problem have been obtained based on the theory of evolution systems on Banach…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Benedikt Köpfer , Ludger Rüschendorf

Via operator theoretic methods, we formalize the concentration phenomenon for a given observable `$r$' of a discrete time Markov chain with `$\mu_{\pi}$' as invariant ergodic measure, possibly having support on an unbounded state space. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

We show that the mixing times of random walks on compact groups can be used to obtain concentration inequalities for the respective Haar measures. As an application, we derive a concentration inequality for the empirical distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sourav Chatterjee

We prove a central limit theorem for strictly stationary random fields under a sharp projective condition. The assumption was introduced in the setting of random variables by Maxwell and Woodroofe. Our approach is based on new results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Magda Peligrad , Na Zhang

We establish deviation inequalities for the maxima of partial sums of a martingale differences sequence, and of a strictly stationary orthomartingale random field. These inequalities can be used to establish complete convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Davide Giraudo

As general theories, currently there are concentration inequalities (of random walk) only for the cases of independence and martingale differences. In this paper, the concentration inequalities are extended to more general situations. In…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-01-20 Changqing Liu

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

In this paper, we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables with values in a Hilbert space. The conditions obtained are expressed in terms of martingale-type conditions. The main tools are…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Sophie Dede

We prove what appears to be the first concentration of measure result for hidden Markov processes. Our bound is stated in terms of the contraction coefficients of the underlying Markov process, and strictly generalizes the Markov process…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Leonid Kontorovich

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

We present some extensions of Bernstein's concentration inequality for random matrices. This inequality has become a useful and powerful tool for many problems in statistics, signal processing and theoretical computer science. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Stanislav Minsker

Generalized gamma distributions arise as limits in many settings involving random graphs, walks, trees, and branching processes. Pek\"oz, R\"ollin, and Ross (2016, arXiv:1309.4183 [math.PR]) exploited characterizing distributional fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Tobias Johnson , Erol Peköz

In this work we derive multi-level concentration inequalities for polynomial functions in independent random variables with a $\alpha$-sub-exponential tail decay. A particularly interesting case is given by quadratic forms $f(X_1, \ldots,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-26 Friedrich Götze , Holger Sambale , Arthur Sinulis

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a widely-used technique for generating a dependent sequence of samples from complex distributions. Conventionally, these methods require a source of independent random variates. Most implementations use…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-17 Iain Murray , Lloyd T. Elliott

We show that any probability measure satisfying a Matrix Poincar\'e inequality with respect to some reversible Markov generator satisfies an exponential matrix concentration inequality depending on the associated matrix carr\'e du champ…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Richard Aoun , Marwa Banna , Pierre Youssef

We prove a version of McDiarmid's bounded differences inequality for Markov chains, with constants proportional to the mixing time of the chain. We also show variance bounds and Bernstein-type inequalities for empirical averages of Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Daniel Paulin

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao
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