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Motivated by the pressing request of methods able to create prediction sets in a general regression framework for a multivariate functional response and pushed by new methodological advancements in non-parametric prediction for functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

In the setup of i.i.d.~observations and a real valued differentiable functional~$T$, locally asymptotic upper bounds are derived for the power of one-sided tests (simple, versus large values of~$T$)and for the confidence probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Helmut Rieder

When collections of functional data are too large to be exhaustively observed, survey sampling techniques provide an effective way to estimate global quantities such as the population mean function. Assuming functional data are collected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Hervé Cardot , David Degras , Etienne Josserand

We show that there do not exist adaptive confidence bands for curve estimation except under very restrictive assumptions. We propose instead to construct adaptive bands that cover a surrogate function f^\star which is close to, but simpler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Christopher R. Genovese , Larry Wasserman

Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Sanjay M. Joshi

This paper presents a method for constructing uniform confidence bands for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) function. The shape of the MTE function offers insight into how the unobserved propensity to receive treatment is related to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Toshiki Tsuda , Yanchun Jin , Ryo Okui

We propose simultaneous confidence bands of the hyperbolic-type for the contrasts between several nonlinear (curvilinear) regression curves. The critical value of a confidence band is determined from the distribution of the maximum of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-11 Xiaolei Lu , Satoshi Kuriki

We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our approach can be used to quantify uncertainty in realizations of stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Timothy Chan , Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian

Inference via simultaneous confidence band is studied for stationary covariance function of dense functional data. A two-stage estimation procedure is proposed based on spline approximation, the first stage involving estimation of all the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-31 Jiangyan Wang , Guanqun Cao , Li Wang , Lijian Yang

To evaluate a classification algorithm, it is common practice to plot the ROC curve using test data. However, the inherent randomness in the test data can undermine our confidence in the conclusions drawn from the ROC curve, necessitating…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Zheshi Zheng , Bo Yang , Peter Song

In this paper, we establish uniform asymptotic certainty bands for the conditional cumulative distribution function. To this aim, we give exact rate of strong uniform consistency for the local linear estimator of this function. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-21 Sandie Ferrigno , Bernard Foliguet , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

When the study variable is functional and storage capacities are limited or transmission costs are high, selecting with survey sampling techniques a small fraction of the observations is an interesting alternative to signal compression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Hervé Cardot , Camelia Goga , Pauline Lardin

Confidence intervals are a standard technique for analyzing data. When applied to time series, confidence intervals are computed for each time point separately. Alternatively, we can compute confidence bands, where we are required to find…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Nikolaj Tatti

By wavelets approach we estimate densities. Then by means of mean value theorem we establish asymptotic consistency and normality for special divergence measures and construct their consistency bands.

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-18 Amadou Diadie Ba

We propose a method to quantify uncertainty around individual survival distribution estimates using right-censored data, compatible with any survival model. Unlike classical confidence intervals, the survival bands produced by this method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

The paper introduces a method to construct confidence bands for bounded, band-limited functions based on a finite sample of input-output pairs. The approach is distribution-free w.r.t. the observation noises and only the knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-28 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

The construction of the simultaneous confidence bands for the integrated hazard function is considered. The Nelson--Aalen estimator is used. The simultaneous confidence bands based on bootstrap methods are presented. Two methods of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anna Dudek , Maciej Gocwin , Jacek Leskow

We construct nonparametric confidence sets for regression functions using wavelets that are uniform over Besov balls. We consider both thresholding and modulation estimators for the wavelet coefficients. The confidence set is obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Christopher R. Genovese , Larry Wasserman

We develop a novel method to construct uniformly valid confidence bands for a nonparametric component $f_1$ in the sparse additive model $Y=f_1(X_1)+\ldots + f_p(X_p) + \varepsilon$ in a high-dimensional setting. Our method integrates sieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Philipp Bach , Sven Klaassen , Jannis Kueck , Martin Spindler