English

Adaptive Confidence Bands

Statistics Theory 2007-06-13 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We show that there do not exist adaptive confidence bands for curve estimation except under very restrictive assumptions. We propose instead to construct adaptive bands that cover a surrogate function f^\star which is close to, but simpler than, f. The surrogate captures the significant features in f. We establish lower bounds on the width for any confidence band for f^\star and construct a procedure that comes within a small constant factor of attaining the lower bound for finite-samples.

Cite

@article{arxiv.math/0701513,
  title  = {Adaptive Confidence Bands},
  author = {Christopher R. Genovese and Larry Wasserman},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:math/0701513},
  year   = {2007}
}