Related papers: Expectation, Conditional Expectation and Martingal…
The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…
For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random…
This thesis presents a formalization of martingales in arbitrary Banach spaces using Isabelle/HOL. We begin by examining formalizations in prominent proof repositories and extend the definition of the conditional expectation operator from…
A local projection model is defined by a set of linear regressions that account for the associations between exogenous variables and an endogenous variable observed at different time points. While it is standard practice to separately…
Many key quantities in statistics and probability theory such as the expectation, quantiles, expectiles and many risk measures are law-determined maps from a space of random variables to the reals. We call such a law-determined map, which…
In this paper we prove the existence of conditional expectations in the noncommutative $L_p(M,\Phi)$ spaces associated with center-valued traces. Moreover, their description is also provided. As an application of the obtained results, we…
We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define a notion of computable randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…
The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…
We prove a central limit theorem for strictly stationary random fields under a sharp projective condition. The assumption was introduced in the setting of random variables by Maxwell and Woodroofe. Our approach is based on new results for…
From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…
In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a continuous semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a set-valued…
Generalized conditional expectations, optional projections and predictable projections of stochastic processes play important roles in the general theory of stochastic processes, semimartingale theory and stochastic calculus. They share…
Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…
Assume that we are given a filtration $(\mathscr F_n)$ on a probability space $(\Omega,\mathscr F,\mathbb P)$ of the form that each $\mathscr F_n$ is generated by the partition of one atom of $\mathscr F_{n-1}$ into two atoms of $\mathscr…
We characterize the event of convergence of a local supermartingale. Conditions are given in terms of its predictable characteristics and quadratic variation. The notion of stationarily local integrability plays a key role.
In this paper we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work Ararat et al. (2023). Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known…
Strassen's classical martingale coupling theorem states that two real-valued random variables are ordered in the convex (resp.\ increasing convex) stochastic order if and only if they admit a martingale (resp.\ submartingale) coupling. By…
In this paper we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the mean square approximation of a random field with an ortho-martingale. The conditions are formulated in terms of projective criteria. Applications are given to linear and…
We represent fractional conditional expectations of a functional of fractional Brownian motion as a convergent series in L^2 space. When the target random variable is some function of a discrete trajectory of fractional Brownian motion, we…
Grafakos systematically proved that $A_\infty$ weights have different characterizations for cubes in Euclidean spaces in his classical text book. Very recently, Duoandikoetxea, Mart\'{\i}n-Reyes, Ombrosi and Kosz discussed several…